Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shiftinggears | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cabar Sul | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Semper Fidelis | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | North Pole | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runnin Joke | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Blame Freddy | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shouldhavebeengone | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Freddyness | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Contact | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wispering Springs | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strawberry Cone | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gimmebackmybullets | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Cupid | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Swansboro | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stevie T | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lyfe Is Simple | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Field Letters | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Streak | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always a Queen | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Stay Home | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mani Pedi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yourindenial | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Dewzpots | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not Normal | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | DeSantis | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tatum | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talk With Me | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smilin Jack | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finally Captured | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Az Sharp | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Normal | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go East | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kaique | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Grayt Pumpkin | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Mover | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Laoban | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carrickmacross | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paradise Valley | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Florianopolis | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Box N Ben | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Dude | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | French Toast | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wizard Serrat | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angelus Warrior | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yes Sir Colonel | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long Term Thinking | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abuelo Nuno | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Willy Mc | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Capital Conquest | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Upfor Parole | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | T’was the Night | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rabbit | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | If We Get Lucky | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bear Or Bull | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Sky | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Social Acceptance | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Separate Ways | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keen Lookin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holdtheflight | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Easy Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holdtheflight | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ego Man | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tough Tickets | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commissioner G | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dalton | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Treasure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Launch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sundria | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chronology | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms. Bucchero | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Onthisharvestmoon | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Filtered Light | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Chaser | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Foo | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Majesty | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Argentina Girl | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hop On Me | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bet On Drama | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bionic Kat | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Breeze | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yeloma | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twyla | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Only Girl | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scarlet’s Song | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orb’s Party Girl | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dons Last Call | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uptown Charlotte | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peacemon | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Sugar Please | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magnolia Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.