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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Precision Strike 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Classically 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Nashoba’s Joy 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Upright 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Adventuresome 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Rippin’ Ruis (AUS) 8.00 5 10-1
6 6 Caribbean King 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 American Livin 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cajun Treasure 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mighty Matt 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Established 1.20 2.8 5-1
1 1 Midnight Special 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Scratchy Apache 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Vicente’s Shadow 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s My Niece 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Midnight Love 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Mr. Chivas 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Smokem Ez 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Spot D’ Oro 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rip City 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Weegee 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Comradery (IRE) 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Moody Jim (IRE) 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Growth Engine 2.50 4 7-1
2 2 Sittin On Go 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jacqueline Cochran 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Midnight Silence 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Prestigious 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Rosy Edge 1.20 4.1 8-1
1 1 Midnight Susi 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silver N Black 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Stamp My Passport 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Silent Heat 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Get the Gold 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 We Need Marketing 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Ghostly Act 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Montana 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Doinitthehardway 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Getthemoney 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Blessed Touch 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Liberal Lady 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 In Color 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Gila 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bella Baby 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mygalsdawnnlori 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Ava’s Storm 2.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Precipice 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Miss Joannie 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Turquoise Bikini 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Signora Minister 6.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Streisand 10.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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