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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ragtime Blues 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Colonel Bowman 1.20 1.1 2-1
8 8 Scilly Cay 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Heir Port 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Reed Kan 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Alcools 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lost in Rome 20.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 First Deputy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Silver Seeker 5.00 1 2-1
7 6 Lord Gatling 20.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Soulmate 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Bold Journey 2.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Ohtwoohthreefive 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 1 Paros 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Elusive Edge 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Three Zero 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Winning Drive 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 My Friends Beer 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Allaboutthemoney 8.00 SCRATCH
1 9 Luni Sima 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forty Two Ace 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cumberland Blues 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Midnight Worker 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Norgay 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Cheeky Tico 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Blu Grotto 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Hang Tight 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Centavo 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lil Bro Coop 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Colloquy 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mandatory 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Fromanothamutha 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Breadman 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Magical Ways 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Mach One 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Inspeightoftrainer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Man O’ War S.) – Man O’ War S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Red Knight 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Channel Maker 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Verstappen 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Howe Street 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Warren Point (GB) 1.80 4.1 8-1
6 6 Soldier Rising (GB) 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Value Engineering 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Strong Tide 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Peter Pan S.) – Peter Pan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Classic Catch 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Bishops Bay 1.60 1.8 3-1
6 6 Go Soldier Go 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Summer Cause 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Henry Q 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Arcangelo 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Asmodeus 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Game Change 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Slip Mahoney 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miracle Mike 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 War Prince 12.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Your Mission 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Silent Running 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Barry the Builder 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Tunnel Vision 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Waflr 12.00 5 9-1
13 13 Mama Banned Me 5.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Fast Study 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Michael Leis 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Academy Choice 20.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Fluorescent Bay 30.00 10.1 19-1
16 16 Forward Cast 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Campbelito 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Metamorphoses 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Eternal Glory 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sandrone 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Heymackit’sjack 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Athenry 5.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Feathers Road 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Twenty Six Black 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Power Attack 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Starquist 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 King Moonracer 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Braciole 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Camm’ Duke 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Runhappy S.) – Runhappy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Drafted 0 0-1
2 2 Beren 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Twisted Ride 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Candy Man Rocket 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Mr Phil 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Drafted 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Stage Left 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Get Your Kicks 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Free Look 3.50 1.2 2-1
10 11 Juniper’s Moon 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Alpha Bella 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 10 Spansive 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Tryinmyheartout 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Essaouira 20.00 6.9 13-1
1A 7 Bengala Joy 8.00 7.7 15-1
1 4 Stephanie’s Charm 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 8 La Vita Sofia 30.00 9.9 19-1
2 1 Binsky 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Mo Damorninggrouch 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ma Mi Jo Dreams 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Central Speed 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Boss of All 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Never Personal 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Irish Empress 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Follow the Fed 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 George’s Vice 3.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Rent Control 15.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Linarite 8.00 8 15-1
10 10 Sarah’s Dialed In 12.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Caiarossa 30.00 9.8 18-1
13 13 My Cara Mia Mine 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Purest Performance 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ukrainian Princess 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Queens Over Threes 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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