Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Casey | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dulce Kiara | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Juba | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Del | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancer’s Melody | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backstreet Affair | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Imnotonetocomplain | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twelveo’clockrock | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Cadence | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Babe | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Cinco de Mayo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evangeline Allons | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ellie Victorina | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fancy Princess | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imagine Victory | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Step Ahead | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New York Panther | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toast to Coast | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catching Stars | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Band Camp | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That’s My Business | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Alligator Arms | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alvy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Warlock | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fowl Nation | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imagine a Cure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Steele Money | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s On Fire | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blown Save | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Souper Catch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ace Nine Nine | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lost My Vowcher | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sicilia Mike | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galatians | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Never Change | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shoot Themessenger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Velvet Ghost | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Colbaloaf | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Headed | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kendama | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Semper Fi | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Workin On a Dream | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Drawl | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Johng | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Silence | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Two Kid | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie A | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Berks | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gallant Gold | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Montauk Point | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carvellian Quest | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What Say You | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Your Analysis | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luigi’s Spirit | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candy for Carmel | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Affable Monarch | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hardspun Reason | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Romp | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Ghost | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shadow Box | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Smoak | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cavalry Command | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Superstitieux | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pressing Concern | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rushin Tothecircle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Natagar | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.