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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prowling Tiger 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Evan Harlan 3.50 2 4-1
13 13 Battle of Normandy 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Juulstone 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Monjid 12.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Ice Cold Frosty 30.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Twist ‘n Twirl 15.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Tiz a Giant 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Collection Day 50.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Benny Havens 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Awesome Man 15.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 The Happy Giant 20.00 10.6 20-1
1 1 O Captain 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Crisper 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cees Get Degrees 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Saffa’s Day 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Ruggs 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Hunter Joe 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Holy Synchronicity 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Going to the Lead 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Outkissed 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Two Sides of Love 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Watch This Birdie 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Souper Tropical 12.00 1.4 3-1
12 12 Lady Wildcat (IRE) 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Bee Mountain 15.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Determined Stella 20.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Up for It 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Carolina Hideaway 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Caroline Krystyna 6.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Stage Call 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Police Woman 30.00 8 15-1
7 7 Gazalani 30.00 10.4 20-1
14 14 Parish Belle 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Catch the Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Marvelette 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Roman Goddess 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allaire Dupont Distaff S. Presented By Starry) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S. Presented By Starry

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Interstatedaydream 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Falconet 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Misty Veil 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Le Da Vida (CHI) 3.50 5 10-1
3 3 Butterbean 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Misty Mauve 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American Starlet 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Laugh and Play 12.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Above the Limit 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 3 Respectfully 10.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Roses for Debra 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Whiteknuckleflyer 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Golden Can 15.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Still My Babe 15.00 4 7-1
10 10 Gastown Babe 12.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Combat Queen 4.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Bandits Warrior 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Chickieness 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Liquidator 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 And Whistle 10.00 2 4-1
6 6 Freccia d’Argento 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Betcha by Golly 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Continentalcongres 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Royal Whisper 2.00 4 8-1
3 3 Italian Dressing 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Hidewright Away 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shadow Sphinx 2.50 1 2-1
13 13 Tom Hagen 12.00 1 2-1
12 12 King’s Honor (IRE) 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Cannon’s Roar 10.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Clint Maroon (GB) 20.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 You Must Chill 10.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Doctor Davis 15.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Bob Marco 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Chulainn 4.00 3 6-1
14 14 Encourage 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Saranac (FR) 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 B Determined 15.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Mongolian Hero 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 One Ten 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fort Warren 0 0-1
3 2 Heldish 10.00 1 2-1
1 7 Cloud Music 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Johnyz From Albany 2.50 4.1 8-1
1A 10 Indybound 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Fort Warren 1.40 5.8 11-1
7 6 Contempt 15.00 8 15-1
4 3 Cartographer 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Collectorate 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Goodafternoonoscar 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kidman Kerry 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Train to Artemus 0 0-1
2 2 Train to Artemus 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Her World (IRE) 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Spicy Marg 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Can the Queen 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Whiskey and Rye 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Spun Glass 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Thundering Creed 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Lemos Cunha 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Queen Sheba 30.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Get the Candy 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Golden Effect 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Miss Preakness S. Presented By Case Tractor) – Miss Preakness S. Presented By Case Tractor

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Key of Life 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Topsy 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 L Street Lady 20.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Maple Leaf Mel 1.60 2.9 5-1
7 7 Bound by Destiny 30.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Afternoon Tea 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Happy Clouds 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Hilltop S. Presented By Aerovanti) – Hilltop S. Presented By Aerovanti

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aunt Shirley 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 Well Into 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Breath Away (GB) 2.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Miss New York 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 After Eight 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Thirty Thou Kelvin 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Lil Spinner 50.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Hang the Moon 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Aspray 8.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Up and Down 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Ice Cube Baby 50.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Majestic Creed 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Pimlico Special S. Presented By Bulleit Bourbon) – Pimlico Special S. Presented By Bulleit Bourbon

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Speed Bias 0 0-1
1 1 Kuchar 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Law Professor 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Keystone Field 10.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Speed Bias 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Rattle N Roll 1.80 3.6 7-1
3 3 Clapton 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Armando R 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Cooke Creek 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Taxed 0 0-1
Faiza 0 0-1
9 9 Faiza 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Merlazza 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Hoosier Philly 10.00 2.4 5-1
12 12 Towhead 20.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Taxed 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Sacred Wish 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Balpool 8.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Cats Inthe Timber 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Comparative 12.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Miracle 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Frosty O Toole 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pate 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 S. Muffin 1.40 1 2-1
9 9 Theolovesawinner 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Certain 4.50 4.4 8-1
12 12 Surprise Hello 30.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Covert Kat 4.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Gettin’downonit 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Fun Notion 30.00 8 15-1
3 3 Thunderhouse 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Mission Man 10.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Hialeah Native 15.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Great Call 30.00 10.7 20-1
5 5 Hit the Jackpot 30.00 12.7 24-1
14 14 Tucker Road 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ragtime Riches 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Alibi Ike 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Pay Zone 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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