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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bustinupishardtodo 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rock the Boat 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Swifty Devil 12.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 American Speed 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 He’s Orientate 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Tauber 3.00 5 9-1
2 2 Tapio 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Bourbon and Ice 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Peruvian Lucky 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Monster Mason 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Iywaan 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Be Better 2.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Rustys Gfivefifty 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Tate 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Serifos 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Code Runner 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 One Ten 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Torch of Truth 4.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Rarified Flair 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 He’s Got Swagger 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Composer’s Dream 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Arrogant Rider 20.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Classic Legend 20.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Here’s Liam 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Weyhill Road 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Toofareastiswest 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 King Joey 30.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Headline News 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Langlee Avenue 6.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Pitagore 8.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Silk Prince 50.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mustashaar 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Sir Barton S. Sponsored By Brandon And Diannah Perry To Benefit The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Sir Barton S. Sponsored By Brandon And Diannah Perry To Benefit The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tapit’s Conquest 0 0-1
4 4 Arabian Lion 0.40 1 2-1
3 3 Tapit’s Conquest 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Denington 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Feeling Woozy 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sheriff Ronnie 30.00 5 9-1
1 1 Masterwork 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tequilera 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Downtown Katie 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Dancing Til Dusk 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Amani’s Image 8.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Murph 30.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Nicolar 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Sake (FR) 10.00 5.6 11-1
15 15 Youens 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Cecilita 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Thegirlfromireland 15.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Charming Way 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Lifelovenlaughter 12.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Just North 15.00 13.3 25-1
16 16 Pentagon 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 She’sarollingstone 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Uncorked (AUS) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Chick Lang S. Presented By Case Tractor) – Chick Lang S. Presented By Case Tractor

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ryvit 0 0-1
Havnameltdown 0 0-1
1 1 Havnameltdown 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Super Chow 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ryvit 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Frosted Departure 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Prince of Jericho 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Prove Right 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Bristol Channel 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Gallorette S. Presented By Pepsi Zero Sugar) – Gallorette S. Presented By Pepsi Zero Sugar

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vergara 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Whitebeam (GB) 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Sopran Basilea (IRE) 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bipartisanship (GB) 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Princess Theorem 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Eminent Victor 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Traffic Song 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Dinner Party S. Presented By Bulleit Bourbon) – Dinner Party S. Presented By Bulleit Bourbon

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Atone 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Hurricane Dream (FR) 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Speaking Scout 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Emmanuel 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Rising Empire 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Never Explain 10.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Easter (FR) 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Skipat S. Presented By Old Bay) – Skipat S. Presented By Old Bay

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Princess Kokachin 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Oxana 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 I’m the Boss of Me 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Gunning 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Street Lute 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Cheetara (CHI) 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Edie Meeny Miny Mo 8.00 3.4 7-1
9 9 Olivia Darling 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Beguine 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Golden Effect 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S. Presented By Guinness) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S. Presented By Guinness

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Artemus Citylimits 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Nothing Better 3.00 3.2 6-1
13 13 Beer Can Man 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Coppola 6.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Noble Emotion 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Determined Kingdom 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 That’s Right 12.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Breakthrough 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Grateful Bred 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Smokin’ Jay 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kenny Had a Notion 50.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Uncle Ernie 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fore Harp 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maryland Sprint S. Presented By Big Ass Fans) – Maryland Sprint S. Presented By Big Ass Fans

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Wondrwherecraigis 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Willy Boi 15.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Nakatomi 2.50 1.3 3-1
8 8 Straight No Chaser 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Full Authority 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Prevalence 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Threes Over Deuces 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Hello Hot Rod 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 War Tocsin 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Al Loves Josie 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (James W. Murphy S. Presented By Four Seasons Of Baltimore) – James W. Murphy S. Presented By Four Seasons Of Baltimore

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Nagirroc 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Wonderful Justice (GB) 5.00 5 9-1
3 3 A Western Yarn 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Circling the Drain 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Kingfish Stevens 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Funtastic Again 3.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Moonstrike (GB) 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Fadethenoise 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Top Recruit 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Preakness S.) – Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
National Treasure 0 0-1
National Treasure 0 0-1
3 3 Mage 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Blazing Sevens 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 National Treasure 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Red Route One 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Perform 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Chase the Chaos 50.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Coffeewithchris 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 First Mission 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 14 (Uae President Cup S.) – Uae President Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 QUICK SAND AA 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 LIKE MOULIN ROUGE 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 DIAMOND GEM AA 1.40 3.6 7-1
6 6 RB RATHOWAYNE 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 RB TEXAS HOLD EM 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 AA TAKE A CHANCE 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 WMA BIG BABY 30.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 WIKISPEEDIA 30.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 FOUR HUNDRED PROOF AA 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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