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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Talkin Pharoah 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Frisky Jim 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Happy Bob 1.60 3.4 6-1
5 5 Shakin the Belle 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Al’s Frosted 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Obscured by Clouds 30.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Run Diem Z 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Portfolio Company 2.00 1 2-1
1A 3 Q F Seventy Five 1.80 1 2-1
5 6 Space Launch 2.50 2 4-1
1 2 Dripping Gold 1.80 3 6-1
2 1 Daunt 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 4 Night Jumper 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 7 Tonal Impact 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Broken Spur 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Mr Flowers 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Variable Cost (GB) 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Yorkshire Prince 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fire Baron 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Golden Purchase 30.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Mischievous Angel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Winters Lion 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Smooth Flyin Mike 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Thunderian 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Warrior Richard 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Alternate Reality 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Life and Light 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Utilization Rate (FR) 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Doral 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Mirabella 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Zappera 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Double Dream 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Empathy 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Tres Chic (ARG) 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Gifted 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Majority Partner 2.50 1 2-1
1 3 Colonel Bowman 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 1 Happy Farm 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 2 Vittorio 1.60 2.4 4-1
6 7 Market Alert 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Lost in Rome 30.00 6.3 12-1
1A 5 Saffa’s Day 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Soaring Softly S.) – Soaring Softly S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Queen Picasso (GB) 0 0-1
1 1 Lady Beth 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Senior Prank 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Queen Picasso (GB) 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 American Apple 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Quarrel 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Love Appeals 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Glory Road 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dust Devil 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Rocco Strong 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Alcools 10.00 4 7-1
4 4 Pit Boss 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 My Friends Beer 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Blake B. 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Datesfreedom 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Inflation Adjusted 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fighter in the Win 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Danzigwiththestars 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Swing Low 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Afjan 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hold the Salsa 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Mo Z 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Spinning Colors 0 0-1
10 10 Strictly Taboo 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Loon Cry 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Photon 6.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Snowy Evening 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Lakeside Getaway 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Graceful Rose 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Galatrona 20.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Autumn 8.00 8.2 16-1
14 14 Big Hazel 30.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Spinning Colors 20.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Three Cups Full 8.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Sail With the Wind 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Northway 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ichiban 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dream On Cara 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 She’s a Natural 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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