Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Triple Titos | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Orocovix | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sidney’s Bid | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Irishman | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheer Element | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blackwater Falls | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sapphire Star | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vodkatini | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grace and Charm | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waterworks | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent Pearl | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Union | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heckled | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bollinger | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rugelach | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gomomischief | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Gotta Bolt | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rainbow Olly | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zippy Do Da Day | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blonde Samaritan | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sal’s Blue Jacket | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy Warrior | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sutton Valley | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Litigant | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Maestro | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bachelor Pad | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smarthumor | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | First Rule | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seven and Seven | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code Name Brody | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lawlessness | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buster Bruno | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nibbles | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Youens | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Murph | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiki Bar | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Total Bliss | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lola Flo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flashy Too | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glossamer | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Sass | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Catalon | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Late Night Larry | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luigi’s Spirit | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Passage of Lines | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grandpa’s Kid | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Jack | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romp | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Above the Limit | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bandits Warrior | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rambert | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Savi | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shesasuperfreak | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lilly Simone | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cora Pearl | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stellwagen Banker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happyize | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unxpected Tiger | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Patojo | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catchhimandfreehim | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kane | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boyd’s Band | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sette Stelle | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.