Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Galvaston | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Reload | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Alliance | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jibaro | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Icing | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Star Scholar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Killary | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Storm | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aramos | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ignite the Storm | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bongino | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arnie P | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exceed | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Warden | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tall Water | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | De Only Solution | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bokermin | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Collaborative | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raging Bear | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boston Bay | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seattle Down Under | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stephen B Good | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Conversation | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kinzhal | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Orphan Hallie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chelsea Dagger | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call My Banker | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Executive | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | M V Speed | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Society | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Joe | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hunt Master | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Four Aces High | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sooner Lunar | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winyah Bay | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guns n’ Rojas | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point to the Stars | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nikki Noots | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coach Abernathy | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Groom Lake | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Gizmo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Meseeks | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Robitaille | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hullabaloo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Social Justice | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.