Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Fire | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khozzy Valintine | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Miah | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Paw | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carla’s Honor | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gormley Girl | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Music | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Round Pick | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Bird | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Ginger | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Sunday | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Revival | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stole the Ring | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hot Omelet | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Passion to Please | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bittersweetbizness | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Practical Gizmo | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Choice | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olympic Fencer | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shelly the Rocket | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Rudy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mentoring | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Old Blue Cliff | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Stride | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancin’ Deputy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amazon Forester | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serenade At Sea | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marten Storm | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Pal | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jmr Speedy Escape | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Last Dawn | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Django | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calusa Donnie | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Direct Drive | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Venti | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finn’s Moment | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Touch’n Ride | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bedazzle Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Umneyaat | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foxy Diva | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trizzel Trazzel | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vivid Vixen | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Aza Rainbow | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bequia | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Improvise (FR) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Legal Catch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sammy Stone | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Tomahawk | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miah Said | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Moonshine | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ernie’s Martini | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiburon | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greystone | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Society’s Kat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cahira’s Blessing | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Helluva Holiday | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Sinclair | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flowers ‘n Berries | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rifling | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strike the Pose | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Cargo | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fury S. Presented By Stella Artois) – Fury S. Presented By Stella Artois
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Canadiansweetheart | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fashionably Fab | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Trap | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Anam Cara | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tito’s Calling | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Me and My Shadow | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ticker Tape Home | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courtly Ro | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elysian Field | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Googly Eyes | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firing Bullets | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Luz de La Luna | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devil’s Bit | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alpha Mia | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gayelette | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spider Belle | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mitzi | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jab | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mosler’s Image | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Retail Therapist | 6.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Romance | 4.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
