Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tourist’s Dream | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kitten’s Boy | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laraque | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Investment | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Copinsay | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesomecrest | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hell Bent | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Foresters Princess | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taradar | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Dog N Joe | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jmr Pure Sensation | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Talk to Ya Later | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swirling Dancer | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swinging Mandy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Livin On Luv | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lincolnville Beach | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar Is Golden | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Silence | 2.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sacred Dancer | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taquanyah | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cara Cara | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Gabrielle | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Neolithic Nation | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chipotle Pepper | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Gizmo | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Snow Angel | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rushing the Sky | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taylormoon | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top of the Mornin | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mountain Sound | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Adelaide Court | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half to Reload | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Shore Drive | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Posturing | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mia and Me | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Narcissistic | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Alfredo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heat Merchant | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Benlion | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stolen Money | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sensing Holiday | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| King Alfredo | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proud Speaker | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Liam’s Awesome | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Janis Joplin | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sign of Beauty | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Xi | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Attabe | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Poet’s Woods | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princessonamission | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Painted Glory | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Victorious Tapit | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blueberry Fields | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Urus | 10.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Morning Run | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Admissible | 12.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kantbackoff | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kawacatoose | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red River Rebel | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Watson | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Destination | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Have a Souper Day | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clayton | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maclean’s Posse | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bohemian Boy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Commander Joe | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grandson | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proven Strategies | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Niagara Skyline | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Great Oz | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Perfect Crime | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nikolaou | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Speighty | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | There’s No Joe | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hicksy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | British Artillery | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Downy Boy | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faraway Kitten | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Queenston S.) – Queenston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kaukokaipuu | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Philip My Dear | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cool Kiss | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paramount Prince | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Landing | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Poulin in O T | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keen Flatter | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One for Chap | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | One Bay Hemingway | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Opposites Attract | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Spirited | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Temper | 8.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Cue | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rolling Hills | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Highland Life | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kinetic Stone | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forest Buzz | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jamiesta | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mendeljohn (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Might Bee Speedy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Puddingontheritz | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thebackstretchdude | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Test | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Decimator | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lapochka | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steak and Cheese | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salvator Mundi | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kiddie Holiday | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Green Fleet | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Full Extreme | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack the Cat | 2.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chancel | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finalist | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Desolator | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Bull | 10.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sunrise Drive | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sixtofive | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | English Shirl | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holiday With Amy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Worry Less | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meritamen | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Grace | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trilling Song | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mason’s Music | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Velikiy | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Liplock | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whisper Me a Song | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tender Situation | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.