Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Center Mid Maddie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scoop Dawg | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emperor’s Cause | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dangnabbit | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Dakotan | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Large | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | We Be There | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Just a Thought | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Storied Fella | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jovial | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strawberry Cone | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gimmebackmybullets | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wheresthepassion | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sight Unseen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Our Mark Steven | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Boss Like Beth | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marion Grace | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cup of Life | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iyiyi | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tudor Peak | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risen Change | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shane’s Jewel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lazaretto | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Doom | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rejected Again | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ava K’s Boy | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cumberland Avenue | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crypt | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Louella Street | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Xenatown | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Distorted View | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Masterpiece | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Titanic Rose | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kilimanjara | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Milwaukee Bay | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misquillo | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vanishing Faith | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pralinepopsbottles | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Myheartwillgoon | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | His Rights | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runlikecarl | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cigale | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mantaketheblesings | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aves Makin’ Waves | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Plamen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honor the Fleet | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angelus Warrior | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Look Out Lambo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | What’s to Blame | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Winston | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Relishment | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somebody | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scotty | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quick Return | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Brown Shoes | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Superfly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iconic Legacy | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He Hate Me | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Roundtree | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dathoss | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mia Tosca | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Zeta | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shero | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Out Dancing | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Memento Mi | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kisses for Emily | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spice Ice | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decoupage | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cartouche | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Irie Empress | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Whatsagizmo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Charlize Chub | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vanilla Bean | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thearcherortheprey | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Thor | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Save Your Tears | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keep It Sweet | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | K C Mo | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Include the Munny | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gryphon’s Wings | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Social Rebel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kiss Me Hardy | 99.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.