Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Assume Control | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Some Skin | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leviosa | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kenai Cool | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halligirl | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Dewzpots | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Enraged | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empire’s Score | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Fly Over | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samurai Saint | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Illustrious | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tactical Plan | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Without a View | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speightster’s Gold | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Wind | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Chamita | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tonala | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Creme Caramel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dial for Love | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leggs | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Sight | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Rebel | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kate’s Cuban Kiss | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Hunny Bunny | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Mega Charlie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dalton | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sovereign Change | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marathoner | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Et’s Magic Man | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Einstein | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy American | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hashtag No Wonder | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hometown Hero | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Auction Kingdom | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roadtriptonowhere | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shiny Penny | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth as Glass | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seamialaugh | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gavichi | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anginetti | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boca Royalty | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Crews | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lulinda’s Heart | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky as a Seven | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jokemeister | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Andrew | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Jones | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vero Sun | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Recall | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scandalissimo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Slick Start | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sophos | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nine Toe Johnny | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stay Hydrated | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Thought | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catch My Vibe | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Devils Child | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Wall | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Lindalovesgold | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mercy Mercy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Peppina | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peachy Weachy | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chelsea Wall | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dune Jumper | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broad Jumper | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Boat’s a Rockin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Offshore Affair | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tough Tickets | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lease | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sovereign Warrior | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dramatized | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | American Nightmare | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Panadero | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Be Yourself | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruby Bleu | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | French Toast | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jaa Mode | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.