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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Louisiana Fast Rogue 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 U Go Glen Coco 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jess Headin Holme 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Rh Zancudito Flash 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Honky Tonksfirstlady 15.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Areasonforacocktail 3.50 3.8 7-1
10 10 Buckle Up Blue 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Rf Fear the Eagle 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 El Bengador 15.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Separest Pretty Rose 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Vals Fortune/teddy Abrams Jr S.) – Vals Fortune/teddy Abrams Jr S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 San Lorenzo Dash 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 One Sweet Boss 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jjs Lace 10.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Jla Indy Rogue 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 One Sweet Rogue 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Jrs Coronas Toast 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Tee Britt 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bjx Supernatural 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Tee Gabe 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Adrenalanne 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 A Shur Prospect 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Shakemup Kennadi 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Ekg Im Dashing 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Threecordsanthetruth 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Rrregulator 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 San Lorenzo Moon 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rf Debs Dash N Blue 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Chartreuse Blue 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mamaigotthis 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Five Bar Panther 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Elegant Blues Girl 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Jeg Fascination 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Lynns Sweet Blood 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Jes Winnin Cartel 0 0-1
7 7 Jes Winnin Cartel 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ttt Lil Blackstreak 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 New Blend 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Wild Train Fortune 2.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Coronasr Eye Opening 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sydney Five Bar 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Glamour Dynasty 4.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Mazzikeen 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Jewel 63 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cool Ya Jets 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Apolitical 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Mrs Kennedy Tlc 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Pretty Piloto 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Todalu My Darlin 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Bigtime Adored 8.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Monroe Tlc 3.50 7.1 13-1
6 6 Political Anywhere 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Swags 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Sweet Jessie Mae Aw 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Denzell 4.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Louie Blues 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Never Sweet 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Rf Fearless Jet 2.50 6 11-1
6 6 Martinis Moneymaker 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Jess Kant Catch Me 8.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Jess Jj Watt Aw 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Jrs Runaway Dash 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Seperate Moon 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Elvis Gotta B Fast 4.50 1.3 3-1
9 9 Olmos a Comment 20.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Cartel Edge 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Jambalaya Empress 1.40 3.9 7-1
10 10 Hard Ninety 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Sheza Monee Train 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Softely Leaving You 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Egaltistical 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Perry Lou Cartel 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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