Site icon Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Top of the Mornin 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Crimson Sky 10.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 I’m Phantom 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Serenading Hall 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Say Grace 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Gambler’s Pose 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Can’t Stop Me Now 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sebadas 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Midnight Mascot 0 0-1
1 1 Tunechi 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bucyk 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Midnight Mascot 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Motskari 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Southern Style 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Halcon Negro 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Bee Me 12.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Thefrontiersman 15.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Awesome Entry 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Royal Hudson 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smiles for David 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Holiday With Amy 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Veri Gizmo 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Secret Gizmo 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Golden Suzie 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Sandy Grace 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 It’s a Big Song 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Worry Less 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Onandonandon 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Collect Dattt 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Egbert J 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Tipsy Moon 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Society’s Kat 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Helluva Holiday 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Shebatown 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Trick and Treat 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Humor Me Jim 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Causin’ Mayhem 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Last Dawn 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Quiet Sunday 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Hall of Dreams 3.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Stowaway 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Mo Tourist 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Dream Jereem 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Basketball Jones 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mehlek 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 British Artillery 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Opposites Attract 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Twowaycrossing 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Proud Speaker 0 0-1
7 7 Attabe 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Julie’s Mist 12.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Proud Speaker 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Ghost Painter 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Be Like Leigh 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Strategerized 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Tag Team 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Talking Wonders 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hicksy 12.00 1 2-1
12 12 Ready for a Fight 8.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Scoot Daddy 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Border Town 20.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Step Forward 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Town Cruise 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bode’s Tipsy 20.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Dream Shake 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Perfect Speighty 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 There’s No Joe 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Artie 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Banff 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lord of War 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mr Crowley 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Have a Souper Day 15.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 The Great Oz 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Maakwa 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Downy Boy 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Perfect Crime 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Ottawa 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Red Line Overdrive 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
First Empire 0 0-1
3 3 First Empire 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Secret Reserve 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Souper Watson 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mason’s Gamble 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Told It All 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Last American Exit 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Silent Runner 20.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Coinage 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Money Beets 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Moral Turpitude 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Anita Margarita 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Princessonamission 3.50 3.7 7-1
13 13 Painted Glory 10.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Lady Xi 20.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Super Sicily 20.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Andromache 6.00 5.6 11-1
14 14 Quicker Treat 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Ondine Lady 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Playmate 10.00 7 13-1
9 9 Heliocentric 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sign of Beauty 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Morning Run 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version