Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nottoway | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Filip | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Bay | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manolete | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Winston | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tactical Plan | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Slick Start | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Live Aid | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reiterate | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Force | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leviosa | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call the Po Po | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boca Royalty | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anginetti | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gavichi | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Morethanafeeling | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Secret | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dudley Dickerson | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Speedy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Sky | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Son of a Buck | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Chill | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zoppi Fischbein | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Ronnie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Modern Era | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Bleu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senior Investment | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jardani | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Breakin Cash | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hidden Promise | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Basin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fast Bob | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Therisastormbrewin | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trigger Pull | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jupi’s Lightning | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daytime Lover | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cobble Hill | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King’s House | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Angry Man | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot and Heavy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Healy’s Hope | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hometown Hero | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Box Office Warrior | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brindisi | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gliding Afleet | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Panadero | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Than a Dance | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deplane | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Long Legged Boy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Esor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jaa Mode | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tuanis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Our Mark Steven | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau’s Gem | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | In Sky We Trust | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Much Better | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fox Red | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zillion | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dathoss | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jarlian | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wagon Boss | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Porter | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rejected Again | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Peyton Elizabeth | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ambitiously Placed | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catti La Belle | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Gundin | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Startwithabang | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bucks Some | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luli’s Dancer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Touring Maryanne | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Simovitch | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allevare | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Gerry | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A C Expressway | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roan Mountain | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Super John | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Honor | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baton | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cobble Road | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Plamen | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Treasure | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night Ops | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Unity | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Causalistic | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yes Sir Colonel | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cartier Cat | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Excursion | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sacred Rider | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kodapendent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | The Method | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.