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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, July 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diamonds Fire 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Stand Up Perry 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Power of Red River 4.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Locomotive 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Blue Train 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Mj Dashing Eagle 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 A Contraire Cadillac 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Favorite Saturday 15.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Above the Fire 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Al V 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Jrs Madelyns Ego 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mixed Blood 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Guidry Runaway Doo 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bf One Mean Boss 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Indian Giver Blue 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Honkytonk Truth 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rosies Cute Girl 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Sweet Tee Girl 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sheza Twenty Twenty 2.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Tee Trauma 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Hey Chip 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 First Decorated Hero 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Mr Murray 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blast of Blue Flame 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Salvatore Tee 8.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Jess Deluxe 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Fearless Hero 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 Catch Ya Later Chic 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Ra Piloto Special 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Trump Cartel 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Pm Uno Dasher 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Fast Talkin Ed 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 My Lady Corona 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eagle Speed 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Corona Blue Estrella 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 You Feel Me 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Apollitical Focus 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 B the Vision 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Big Girl Five 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Rogues Celebration 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Tf Itsy Bitsy Jess 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Heza Gold Prize 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Ms Apolitical Ivory 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jp La Fresita 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ha Chi Corona 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Moon Ray B 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Stevin Got Even 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Imflyingbyyou 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 One Dash Eagle 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Db Blues Cartel 2.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Ttt Maxed Out James 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Apolitical Panda 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Jewels Train 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Delta Downs Open Graduation S.) – Delta Downs Open Graduation S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pop a Top Corona 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Ja Zooms 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Jess the One 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Golden Doc 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dress Me in Blue 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 El Capi 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Astieker 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Playing the Field 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Code Name Lethal 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Illegal Candy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rail Runner 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Racy Jess 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Heza Rogue Year 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tempting Getaway 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Sheza San Lorenzo 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Shakeupmyblood 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Jasmines Jellybean 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 One Fast Denali 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Rm Mines Train B 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Lz Hennessy 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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