Site icon Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Master Spy 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Uncle Bull 1.40 1.7 3-1
8 8 Crafty Conquest 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Sea Scout 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Al Heybay 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 Tricky Magician 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Highland Society 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Midnight Meadow 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Burlap 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Crimson Nights 2.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 Forest Vixen 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Velikiy 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Speedy Bubbles 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bellaspina 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bridge to Nowhere 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Rocket Riley 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Spirit O’Tipperary 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Lake Huron S.) – Lake Huron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Patches O’Houlihan 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Poulin in O T 1.80 1.2 2-1
3 3 Silent Reserve 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Kinetic Stone 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Awesome Bourbon 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forest Star 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mr. De 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dixie’s Flatter 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Last Monarch 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mr. Marshall 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Wild Conversation 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Wont Forget You 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 He’s Fully Loaded 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Commander At Sea 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Smokin Holiday 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cadfael 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
You Be the Judge 0 0-1
6 6 Rosa 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Silent and Sinful 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Lunch With Bernie 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Why Em Sea Ay 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Blue Tango 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Different Drum 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 You Be the Judge 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Miramichi 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Georgian Bay S.) – Georgian Bay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Foolish Games 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Souper Sinclair 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Cara Cara 3.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Give Me the Boots 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Domer Allure 4.50 7.3 14-1
5 5 Strike the Pose 20.00 8.7 17-1
6 6 Souper Sunday 10.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Anam Cara 8.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Flowers ‘n Berries 12.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Rifling 20.00 10.6 20-1
8 8 Taylormoon 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 English Shirl 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hot Cargo 4.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Sweet Nola 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Maralinga 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Royal Blush 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Foxy Diva 4.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Well Actually 15.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Meet the Soprano 12.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Speedy River 20.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Diosa Catrina 10.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Bedazzle Me 3.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Buttered Toast 0 0-1
12 12 Mosler’s Image 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Kitten’s Romance 8.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Alpha Mia 20.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Lady Brew 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Gayelette 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Buttered Toast 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Glitter Bay 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Umneyaat 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bizymaline 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Hai Bobbi 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 State of Mind 6.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Mitzi 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lois Len 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Silent Ghost 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Northern Ruby 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Fedalia 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Hit and Run 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Jilli Marie 6.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Ipsum Gratus 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Starlight Ridge 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Strega 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ephrata (GB) 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Silver Magnatized 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Lady Moonshine 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Ensemble (IRE) 2.50 5 9-1
6 6 Indy Champagne 8.00 5 10-1
3 3 Gloriannia 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Air Force Reserve 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 C R Hot Shot 4.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Sing Dixie 10.00 2 4-1
6 6 Tory’s Holiday 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Big Ransom 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Passionplate 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Preetzah’s Star 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Yorkville 12.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Ngabe 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Snookered 20.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Bartica 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Street Serenade 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version