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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tazman 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Street Serenade 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Seattle Down Under 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Four K Force 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Smokin Holiday 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 It’s a Fluke 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Chairman Layla 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Astapovo 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pat’s Gamble 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Moon Over Egbert 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Little Domi 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Sovereign Cause 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Calusa Donnie 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Midnight Moonshine 3.50 7.2 14-1
1 1 Hemlo Gold 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Whaddya Mean 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reservenotattained 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Forester’s Turn 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Dragon’s Brew 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Commander Joe 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Light the Lamp 2.00 4 8-1
1 1 It’s Game Knight 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Forester Humor 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fanore (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Aha Moment 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Over and Ollie 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Lanigan 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Golden Burn 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Legal Catch 3.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Jim’s Hope 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Greystone 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Runaway Charlie 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cloud Storage 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Bequia 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Sharp Aza Rainbow 20.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Seattle Causeway 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Total Betty 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Machina 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Hallanvaara 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Tara Luna 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Homer Screen (BRZ) 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tapsasional 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Meyer 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Perfect Speighty 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Grandson 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Ron’s Gizmo 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Green Fleet 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Prideofdistinction 15.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Twowaycrossing 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Kerouac 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Call Curt 2.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Souper Cohiba 12.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Midnight in Malibu 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Embrace My Uncle 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Cruden Bay 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Lac Macaza 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Curlin’s Ghost 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Prince of Ayrshire 15.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Argentium 20.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Guns n’ Rojas 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blast in the Snow 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Good Soldier 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Silver Smoke 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Crumlin Lad 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Midnight Ramblin 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Killary 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 War Strategy 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Conglomerate 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Malibu Edge 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Bringer of Rain 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Dolder Grand 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 War Court 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Clear Destination 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 He’s a Macho Man 3.50 7.3 14-1
4 4 Seventyseven Stone 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 British Crown 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sweeping Passion 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Grace On the Green 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Golden Suzie 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Sweet Bombolini 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Speedy Johny 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Shez a Sealy 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Mason’s Music 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Can’t Stop Me Now 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Menagerie 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Forever Danish 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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