Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | If You Insist | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party On | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frost Bitten | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valyrian Sky | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bearing Down | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Castleton | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Social Drinker | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoken Chloe | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drowningnchocolate | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Lindysue | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Rock Warrior | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muchalina | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit O’Tipperary | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | P. S. Rising Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Menagerie | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fraulein Victoria | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ashlee’s Ring | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alcom’soutinthwash | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leading Force | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Danish | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Chances | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Verdejo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ishiyaya | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Takota | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Billyjane | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gizmo’s B F F | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loaded Vixen | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loaded Question | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Finalist | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coleyville | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor’s Passion | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stop the Humbug | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Vixen | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Beauty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jill | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Green Gables | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Provision | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Maddelena | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olympic Fencer | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Old Secrets | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silent Sky | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mardene | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Awesome | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sensational Sarah | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blueberry Fields | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indiana Road | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wanna Play | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Sunshine | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loaded Mistress | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Blue Angel | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Favorite Channel | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfectly Legal | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | It’s a Big Song | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baba’s Girl | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sixtofive | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Irene | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.