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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ajs Queenofdasouth 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ima Powerful Jammer 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Belgravia 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Ll Eysa Jess Carter 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Brace for Red River 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Hawk On the Runne 10.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Jess Paint It Blu 20.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Bc Whos Driving Who 12.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Jrs Majestic Beach 8.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Heza Fast Blood 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sheza Flashy Corona 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Explosive Legend 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Corona Only 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Ole Grand Web 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 The Knockout Power 20.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 G Nah Nah B 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Rogues Celebration 15.00 4 8-1
9 9 Rl Tarzano 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Tjs Dynasty 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One Sweet Rogue 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Five Bar Joy 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Toasta Patriot Chick 12.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Lady Genevieve 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Changing the Game 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 One Delightful Tee 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Jjj Valentino 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Fk Hoka Hey 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Wild Blue Candy 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Tf Im That Secret 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Flying Breed S.) – Flying Breed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jj Heza Fast Dash Jr 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hez Pretty Fast 12.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Ja Zooms 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Freighttrain Game 2.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Mighty Pocket Rocket 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tee Britt 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Five Bar Presence 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Bonafyde 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Live Oak S.) – Live Oak S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 One Fast Cajun 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sarahs Patriot 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Louie B Quick 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Freakin Patriot Dash 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Masons Jet Black 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Jesscheerforblue 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Midnight Biscuit 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Rogues Fast Sister 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Flashy Hemp S.) – Flashy Hemp S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lrh Heart of Glass 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Featured Prospect 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Miss Pilotos Train 12.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Louisiana Tequila 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Emorylee 20.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Mrs Kennedy Tlc 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Never Sweet 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tf Runaway Kate 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Freighttrain Game 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Konnan Cartel 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Moonin Rusty 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Mp Dont Look 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Five Bar Jess Cartel 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Pk Pure Rogue 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Turn the Eagle Lose 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Giannirusso 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 King Air 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Splishsplash Piloto 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisian Juvenile S.) – Louisian Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mp Thornado 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cartel Roses Z 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Roundin Third 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Robbiesdashingleagle 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Tjs Dynasty 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 One Cool Corona 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Special Wild Train B 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Hollywood Eagle 5.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Mp Shining Dash 15.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Sea Train B 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jes Winnin Cartel 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cool Ya Jets 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 San Lorenzo Moon 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Wild Train Fortune 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Chartreuse Blue 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Rf Debs Dash N Blue 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Pretty Piloto 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 New Blend 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Jeg Fascination 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Coronasr Eye Opening 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Louisiana Classic S.) – Louisiana Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tha Duke 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Jrs Coronas Toast 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Lrh Grant James 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Lightemupwithcharm 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 One Sweet Boss 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Gt N Boos Runaway 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mr Crawfish 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Go Rhonda Go 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Into the Grey 12.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 Julies Lil Rogue 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Futurity) – Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
One Sweet Sugar 0 0-1
9 9 One Sweet Sugar 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 San Lorenzo Blood 1.80 1.2 2-1
10 10 Eyesa Just Pretty 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Eyesa Freighttrain B 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mp Adored 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Rogue Fast Dash 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Hoztile Takeover 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Mp Jess Special 20.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Wild Blue Debutant 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Jess Train B 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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