Site icon Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tipsy Moon 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Big Ginger 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Dixie Morning 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Humor Me Jim 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Thatsitthatsall 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Stole the Ring 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Summer Snow 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hunt Master 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Quite Ready 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Threefiftyseven 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Poseidon Steel 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Souper Classy 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Long Pond 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Exult 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Victoria S.) – Victoria S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mattingly 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Yacht Boy 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Pipit 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Going Up 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Gotts Got It 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prince Sussex 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Walter Me Lad 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Jamiesta 8.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 One More Brew 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Moonquest 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Adelaide Court 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Justin’s Way 3.50 6.9 13-1
4 4 Moment of Peace 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Mr Narcissistic 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Valley Victory 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Siesta Beach 3.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Summer Commander 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Forest Woodsman 3.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Red Sneakers 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Cantucci 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Pontiac 10.00 8 15-1
8 8 Buck’s Fizz 6.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Brave Dancer 8.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Always a Way 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Haddassah 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Golden Glider 1.60 4.1 8-1
1 1 Malibu Mambo 2.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Palazzi 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Dun Drum 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Avoman 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Call My Banker 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cerebro 20.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Bold Reload 3.50 1.6 3-1
10 10 Souper Rush 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Souper River 15.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Grand Alliance 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Stylish Gent 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Orphan Hallie 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Gendragon 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Allen Diggs 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Like the King 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 English Conqueror 8.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Ready for the Lady 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Elusive Knight 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Sir Sahib 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Bakwena 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 British Royalty 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Dancin in Da’nile 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Day Tripper 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sign of Beauty 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Peace in Paradise 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Crystal the Pistol 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 The Niigon Factor 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Beautiful as You 4.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Centenary 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Good News Money 8.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Cantho 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Star Sign 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Priceless Will 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Maakwa 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Lenny K 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 U S Army Corps 20.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 King Alfredo 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Highland Life 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Galloping d’Oro 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tapping a Rhythm 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sarah’s Dancer 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Bijou Baby 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mrs. C 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Roses Are Free 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Worry Less 10.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Knotty and Nice 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Ella Frances 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Where’s Samnbailey 20.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Moonbright 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version