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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hip Hop Hooray 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Wicked Lady 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Back to D’ Future 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Smarty Pants Sandy 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Queen Lucky 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Misbehaving Lady 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Be Water 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Peach Be With Q 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wishing Ona Prayer 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Surcharge 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Coach Has Six Aces 4.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Debbie’s Surprise 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Dune Jumper 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Boss Like Beth 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Seven Years Later 8.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Broadwaycharlyrose 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dia de Sol 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mazal Eighteen 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Peyton’s College 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Flava’s Dream 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Twirling Wind 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Powwa of Love 4.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Creme Caramel 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sweet Lilly Factum 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Celtic Treasure 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hidden Promise 2.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Screen Saver 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Emperor’s Cause 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Indirectly 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mississippi 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Scoop Dawg 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Semper Fidelis 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mantaketheblesings 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Zona de Amigos 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Lost and Confused 4.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Addyson’s Dream 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Whiskeyromeosierra 4.50 7.5 14-1
5 5 Clancy O’Toole 5.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 We Got Barnyard 5.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Jiggery Pokery 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lord On Hygh 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lindalovesgold 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 A Case of You 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Dream Chaser 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 I Came to Dance 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Gingers Wish 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Gold Rush Kizzie 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Vanilla Bean 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Girlfromouterspace 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Carlotuk 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 On the Shortlist 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Starship 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Wild Creation 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Steal the Deal 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Velvet Vixen 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Peach Tea 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Vanellope 5.00 4 7-1
2 2 Little Coal 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mygirlisabomb 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Flagrunner 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Fox Red 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tuff Constitution 8.00 3.4 7-1
14 14 Steely Danza 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 O’Brien 15.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Call Wil 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Gone Inzane 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Where You Was 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Showtime Cat 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Live Fire 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Cumberland Avenue 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Run White Rabbit 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Beach Warrior 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Marathoner 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Jackson Road 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Olivia Darling 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Bourbon Bon Bay 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Sweet Willemina 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Centre Court Champ 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Nurturing 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Shero 6.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Early Edition 5.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Mavilus 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Excursion 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Social Group 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Super Dude 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Jump for Alex 10.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Call Fitzroy 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Abuelo Nuno 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Scotty 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Drone Swarm 10.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Plamen 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Frank N Ducky 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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