Site icon Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 What’s to Blame 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Look Out Lambo 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Relishment 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mississippi 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Somebody 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Long Gray Line 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Loverboy Lou 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ms Merrabel 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Moonchild 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Miss Chamita 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Tribord 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Speightster’s Gold 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 One Wild Woman 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Tiz a Sharpie 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Xenatown 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Forty Two Ace 0 0-1
1 1 Chelonian 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Forty Two Ace 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 6 Mega Charlie 12.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Speightster Red 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Suigu Star 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Itwasthedevilsidea 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Loose Goose 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Coles Conundrum 8.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Batter Up Bud 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Sal N Louie 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 More Than a Dance 3.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Brother Showtyme 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Stella’s Tour 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Predominate 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Omerta Code 6.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Alonzo Mosely 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Skerrett 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tudor Peak 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Burano 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Strategy Queen 12.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Shetalkstomuch 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Denali Rae 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 That’stony’ssister 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Runnin Redbird 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Connelmaura 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Boss Logic 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Expensive Cut 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Lookin At Roses 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Splicethemainbrace 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cobble Road 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Kobe B 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Manahawkin 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Healy’s Hope 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Saponara 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Mach Trial 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Samurai Saint 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Sunny Saint 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Stay Hydrated 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Therisastormbrewin 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Strum and Pluck 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Minny Speightster 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Omaha Eight 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 South America 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Klaatubarada Nikto 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Runlikecarl 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Myheartwillgoon 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Cigale 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Big Ern McCracken 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Savage Dragon 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Lonesome Boy 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Devine Flameaway 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lease 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Sovereign Change 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Doctor Doom 2.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 American Nightmare 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Mr. Shades of Gray 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lacco Ameno 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bustin Up 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Swan Lake 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Haney Boys 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 J Wass 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Scandalissimo 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Lucky as a Seven 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mr. Tuttle 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Bode O 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Smarthumor 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Rockin Freebee 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Vero Sun 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Top of the Mint 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version