Site icon Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chairman Rainbow 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Bee Bee the King 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Jmr Speedy Escape 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Today 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Last Monarch 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Coronation Boy 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Golden Wind 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Image of Quality 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Marten Storm 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hank Ollie 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Agile Dancer 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Stephen B Good 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Dixie’s Flatter 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Miah Said 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Global Chairman 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Big Shooter 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Secret Camelot 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Bait N Switch 12.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Tall Boy Joel 20.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Little Domi 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wings From Above 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Forever Dixie 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Lady Brew 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Now Is a Breeze 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Pemberley 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Moral Turpitude 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Vivid Vixen 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Katchy Name 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Give Me the Boots 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Weehawken 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Cara Cara 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Society’s Kat 3.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Silver Bullet Lady 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Speedy River 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Veri Gizmo 4.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Helluva Holiday 12.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 No More Diamonds 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Golden Canary 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Airosa 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Villi Olento 20.00 2.5 5-1
13 13 Secord 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Red Samurai 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Keller (IRE) 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Crevalle d’Oro 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Kozy Kurlin Kitten 15.00 4.5 8-1
12 12 Nantuckets Day 15.00 5 10-1
9 9 Miramichi 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Magic Token 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 World Showcase 15.00 8.5 16-1
14 14 Victory Girl 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Under Budget 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Aubrieta 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pleasure’s Gold 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Gamble’s Silver 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Beyond Mybudget 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hell N Wild 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Trading Bay 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Owen’s Tour Guide 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 November Fog 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Gloriannia 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Mademoiselle Nova 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Ontario Colleen S.) – Ontario Colleen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Queen Picasso (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Ryder Ryder Ryder 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Last Call 6.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Mohawk Trail 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Preliminary (GB) 3.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Born to Boogie 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Love to Shop 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Violet Gibson (IRE) 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Blind Spot 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Hendrie S.) – Hendrie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Loyalty 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Miss Speedy 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Hazelbrook 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Clitheroe (GB) 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Hard Edge 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Baby No Worries 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Talk to Ya Later 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sweet Enough (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Outadore 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Maclean’s Posse 8.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Souper Watson 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 The Minkster 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Secret Reserve 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Mason’s Gamble 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Last American Exit 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Torontotoro 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Curlin Candy 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Urus 12.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Firing Bullets 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Rosebud’s Hope 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Cahira’s Blessing 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 She Makes a Point 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Retail Therapist 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Souper Pecan 20.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Proud Speaker 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Hai Bobbi 20.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Mitzi 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jolene Jolene 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pioneer’s Edge 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version