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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Liplock 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mason’s Music 3.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Ravello Beauty 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Holiday With Amy 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Telltale 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Forest Vixen 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Daddy’s Legacy 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Danish Dynamite 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Quicker Treat 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Key Stroke 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Say Grace 8.00 7 13-1
12 12 Forever Danish 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ready to Jam 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Souper Justified 5.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Silent and Violent 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Four Strong Winds 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Wagner 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Bar Talk 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Indy Cowboy 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Arashi 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 My Munnings Model 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Be On Notice 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Thefrontiersman 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Winston Blue 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stayhonor Goodside 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Mo Tourist 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Midnight in Malibu 20.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Stowaway 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Moon Landing 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Shamateur 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mad Mocha 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beau Guest 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Niagara Skyline 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Basketball Jones 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Downy Boy 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Tapthespeedofsound 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Crumlin Lad 12.00 5 10-1
6 6 Dunedin 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Have a Souper Day 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Big Executive 20.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Midnight Arkle 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silent Fortune 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Red Line Overdrive 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Kinetic Stone 10.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Walter Me Lad 15.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Mt Logan 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Dissectologist 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Renegade Serenade 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Morstachy’s 4.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Posturing 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Uncaptured Moment 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Give Me My Money 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Awesome Entry 0 0-1
6 6 Tunechi 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Magic Slips 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Western Whirl 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Southern Style 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Culprit 2.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Motion Granted 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Abrumar 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bedard 6.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Halcon Negro 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 True Shot 20.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Awesome Entry 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Trillium S. Presented By Stella Artois) – Trillium S. Presented By Stella Artois

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Souper Hoity Toity 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Il Malocchio 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Angelou 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Kate’s Kingdom 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Valentina Day 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Saratoga Vision 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sister Seagull 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Batyah 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Inventing 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Connaught Cup S. Presented By Bulleit Bourbon) – Connaught Cup S. Presented By Bulleit Bourbon

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bound for Nowhere 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Lucky Score 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Churchtown 5.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Dreams of Tomorrow 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 War Bomber (IRE) 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Dream Shake 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Old Chestnut 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Banff 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Roaring Forties 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Luckman 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Plate Trial S.) – Plate Trial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Paramount Prince 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Forest Buzz 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Philip My Dear 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Stanley House 1.60 5 9-1
5 5 Velocitor 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Twin City 10.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Simcoe 4.50 8.5 16-1
11 11 Cool Kiss 15.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Gran Spirited 30.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Pat’s Gamble 20.00 11.1 21-1
2 2 Guns n’ Rojas 30.00 11.8 22-1
1 1 Tiburon 12.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Woodbine Oaks Presented By Budweiser) – Woodbine Oaks Presented By Budweiser

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Wickenheiser 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Big Brass Bed 3.50 2.3 4-1
11 11 Ticker Tape Home 2.50 2.6 5-1
14 14 Me and My Shadow 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Elysian Field 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Fashionably Fab 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Tito’s Calling 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Delphia 12.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Friends for Life 30.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Collect Dattt 30.00 10.3 19-1
8 8 Fortyfiveseventy 20.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Flysofreeashleeb 30.00 11.1 21-1
13 13 Courtly Ro 20.00 12.2 23-1
4 4 Great Kate 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Neolithic Nation 0 0-1
7 7 Princessonamission 4.00 1 2-1
12 12 Ondine Lady 10.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Secretaryofthenile 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Be Like Leigh 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Coco’s Dream 10.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Just On Time 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Neolithic Nation 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Julie’s Mist 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Jokes Up 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Heliocentric 12.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Cry Freedom 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Morning Run 20.00 8.2 16-1
13 13 Talking Wonders 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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