Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teewinot Pass | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Teewinot Pass | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dangnabbit | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Singinthruthestorm | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dadashev | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We Be There | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Load Up Moe | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mercy Mercy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pecan Pattie | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Assume Control | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B B’s Rocket | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J J Loves Billy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Advocate Harbor | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | What a Beaut | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Juliet’s Music | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tonala | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Best | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laytown | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Pick | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rex Kwon Do | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Battuta d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fictionalfairytale | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Titanium Reckage | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commingling | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | It’s Game Time | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sacred Rider | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Bob | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Edge | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brett’s World | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Senior Investment | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crypt | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Causalistic | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yes Sir Colonel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Rage | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Einstein | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Genghis | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Romp | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sound the Charge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Et’s Magic Man | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ghostinyou | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate Irony | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Circle Me Madden | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runnin Joke | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let It Flow Joe | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Runner | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exclusive Order | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kane | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Threepete | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indybound | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harley’s Charly | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Muttley | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clash A. J. | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little J P | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Ted | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spirit’s Hero | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Book Marker | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Deplane | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Dar | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capital Conquest | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Professor Kool | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Imagination | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ninja Prize | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Theseguysgotgame | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flashing Diamond | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Funny Bizness | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ambitiously Placed | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shesasuperfreak | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Peppina | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tara’s Talent | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jezebel Jade | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aruma | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar Smile | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Collin’s Grey Lady | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Connelmaura | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Memento Mi | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amaterasu | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Solemn Oath | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Pride | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catti La Belle | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Instinctive | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Slime Queen | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Summer At the Spa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Starship Mallomar | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Baby Gundin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Valla | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Unadulterated | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Frankly My Dear | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Epicurean | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Sadie | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Intentions | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gavichi | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cup of Life | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Leviosa | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pearlbdancing | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tilsa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Afleet Diva | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pontiffany | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Purrfect Mistress | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
