Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Exult | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Newport Agent | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Thieves | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hell Bent | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Prince | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Orphan Hallie | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canyouhearmenow | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Small Talk | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tourist’s Dream | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sharp Aza Rainbow | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War’s End Kiss | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Meritamen | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bittersweetbizness | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zippity Day | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Its a Birdie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manitoulin Island | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smarty Illusion | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Schiller | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grande Bella | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cliff’s Head | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reins of Purple | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenpenny Nail | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Flat Out Angel | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. De | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Scholar | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Star | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cadfael | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Storm | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rat Portage | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Holiday | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Genius | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Serenade | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bongino | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Dave | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Money | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Groom Lake | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rookie Radar | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Abernathy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Play | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benlion | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Elvis | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magic Tomahawk | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Ronin | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Django | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heezespeedy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celentano | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Trouble | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Shakespeare | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gee Que | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Burlap | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Sicily | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cherry Gardens | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top of the Mornin | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Admissible | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lantana Lady | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sebadas | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Defamation | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gambler’s Pose | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Old Blue Cliff | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Where Is Essa | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Ambition | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Souper Sunshine | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legs Like Gizmo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Moonshine | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astapovo | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So Called Vacation | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Rudy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yoddha | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bartica | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Down Under | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Force Reserve | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C R Hot Shot | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Society’s Thunder | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preetzah’s Star | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yorkville | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sunyani | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ngabe | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kinzhal | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Good Skip Indeed | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.