Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Doin’ittherightway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apache | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pylon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Rule | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kefi | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saponara | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catch My Vibe | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chica Chuck | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taporical | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luis Alberto | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Rogue | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Alex | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lee Alejandro | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Epicurean | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nothins Free | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snow Forecast | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luckbealadytonight | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Some Is Nine | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reiterate | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cup of Life | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dune Jumper | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Berks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Sabe Nada | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helium | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wish for Peace | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief Afoot | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Cork | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rugelach | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Bills | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chez Soleil | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Treasured Gem | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Graceful Union | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In Her Cups | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Best Worst Idea | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gun Runnin’ Gal | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Evita | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Keep It Sweet | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Volta d’Oro | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blonde Samaritan | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Princess | 12.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Sunset | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Touchdown Montage | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Macallan | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Great Gazoo | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpha Whiskey | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Forecast | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Ted | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sevier | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystery Mo | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scoop Dawg | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Award Nominated | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coronova | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Danny Boy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Brad | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Ghost | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Edward Madden | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Maestro | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Quality | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notion to Tapit | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pressing Concern | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jokemeister | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Lulu | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Lad | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.