Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kick Startness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play Hard | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finicky | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Fabulous | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wesley Thomas | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Got Barnyard | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Third City | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yahoo Omar | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | What’s to Blame | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kidyounot | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Somebody | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Thrill | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ahsad | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kith | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Winston | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Private Network | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strum and Pluck | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Princess Javoncia | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Complete | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bramble Bush | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ambitiously Placed | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Una Luna | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Memphis Showboat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer At the Spa | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Boss Lady | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party Monster | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Flying | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Passage of Lines | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clubman | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winter’s Ghost | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Salt | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indoctrinate | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Thrifty | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mintenon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run for Karl | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rollercoaster Man | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Takeover Kash | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double O Otto | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | First Squad | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | River Full | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Funny | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Grunion | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bushwick Bruiser | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pop Socks | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Fifth Element | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Buffalo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Last of Bad Boys | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful and Bold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Paloma | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Biogenic Babe | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Arrow | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace and Charm | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Titoschangedmyluck | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haint Blue | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Offshore Affair | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Cairo | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Petit Fils (FR) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Thomond Park | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | King of Chaos | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kobla Mas | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Skipster | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Damir | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Cloud | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Einstein | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Solid Golfer | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Payday | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Silver | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dramatized | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alvy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Krug | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Much Better | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Plain Ornery | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Superstitieux | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Smoak | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Citi Creek | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.