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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Last Freightrain 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tf One Dashin Clown 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Pjs Moonpie 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Dashin for Kash 6.00 4 7-1
7 7 Belgravia 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Favorite Painting 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Senior San Lorobo 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 One Favorite Jess 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Eyesa Just Pretty 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Corona123 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tf Jess a Eagle 1.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 Grand Feature 4.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 The Knockout Power 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Apollitical Blues 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tacit Like a Train 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Louisiana Tah 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Jrs Majestic Angel 20.00 5 10-1
3 3 Heza Fast Blood 12.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Eaglette 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hijack a Train 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hoztile Takeover 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tlc Willie Cartel 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Prom Queen Nr 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Mp Adored 2.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Apolliticalady 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 Jrs Majestic Shadow 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Unbiased 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Fearless Hero 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cartel Roses Z 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Kryptic 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Jess Train B 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Martinis Diva 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Mp Shining Dash 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Ima Powerful Jammer 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Rail Runner 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Mpfamous Pilot 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Freight Tanker 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tf Whatever It Takes 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Freightless 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 You Feel Me 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Pipers Pick 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Toll Tac Express B 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Tf Heza Streaker 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 San Lorenzo Yacht 4.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Sole Train 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Mp Jess Special 4.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Street Perks 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bbs Mooninchick 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Tf Itsy Bitsy Jess 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Sea Train B 3.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Racy Jess 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Jess Special Blood 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Mr Habits Running 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 One Sweet Rootbeer 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Dr Louisiana Cash 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Jrs Toasted Cartel 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Corona Power Jam 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 One Cool Corona 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Apollitical Force 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cardiac 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 San Lorenzo Mudbug 4.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Tlc Snowman 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Jess Push Your Luck 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Scoop of Power 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Kyletos Majestic 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Gabby B 12.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Tf Toast to Tide 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dancingwithgrand 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Tlc the Pilot 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Mp Thornado 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Rogues Celebration 10.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Maxin Out Gains 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Seperate Em Fast 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Tf Rippin Candy 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Ebbie Renee 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Showmedafreight 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Corona Blue Estrella 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sheza Flashy Corona 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Ll Eysa Jess Carter 4.50 1.1 2-1
10 10 Special Wild Train B 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Apollitical Kate 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Salvatore Tee 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Say When Kr 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Blast of Blue Flame 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Heza Fast Tac 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Potausse 20.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Tarzan in Diamonds 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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