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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fajardo 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bee Bee the King 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Gizmo’s Mission 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Seattle Point 8.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Chicago Typhoon 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Legal Steps 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Pidin 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tempo Madness 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Souped Up 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Three Sonny Sideup 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Midnight Arkle 3.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Orphan Hallie 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Crumlin Lad 2.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Souper Rush 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Small Talk 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Souper Classy 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Grand Alliance 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Determined Fury 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Gendragon 12.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bold Reload 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Chelsea Dagger 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Upstart Gentleman 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Supremeaction 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Commander Tom 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Awesomecrest 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Silent Lucidity 3.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Fifth Season 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Tomcat Black 8.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Redoute’s Light 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Giant One 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Stronger Together 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Spring Mountain 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Nikki Noots 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Robitaille 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Defogger 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Jolene Jolene 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Perfect Play 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Candy Street 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Guildsman (FR) 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Maximus Momentus 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Timeskip 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Wenjack 20.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Master Spy 1.80 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sea Scout 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lion’s Goldenheart 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Mobilizer 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Doctor Uptown 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Coleyville 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kiddie Holiday 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 J P Hellish 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Embrace My Uncle 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Full Extreme 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Salvator Mundi 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Reliability 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 H C Holiday 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Argentium 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rocket Joe Copper 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Steak and Cheese 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dixie Giant 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Solar 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Sunrise Drive 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lion Kingdom 4.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Desolator 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Native Prince 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Sailor’s Passion 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 C C’s Kingdom 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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