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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cos Ima Champion 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Senor Tacubaya 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Bad N Boujee 3.00 5 10-1
7 7 Kenny From Winnie 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Him Gone 5.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 I C Visions 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Jes Leaving the Bar 3.50 8 15-1
4 4 Rrregulator 8.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Bugs Gone Rogue 12.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Blue Louisina Fire 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moonin Rusty 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Louisiana Pretty 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ja Zooms 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Oh Hez Fast 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Best Magic Piloto 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Coronasr Eye Opening 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Jessa Boss 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Corona Blues 12.00 8 15-1
6 6 Whos My Papa 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Heza Rip 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Goat Wagon 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Commandeer 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Boss Corona 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Catch Ya Later Chic 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Tf Jess Doing Curls 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Oak Hill Magic 5.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 The Last Uh Oh 10.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Sia Cartel Dollar 4.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Five Bar 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lrh Grant James 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 One Sweet Boss 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Lafitte 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Black Cazador 15.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Lightemupwithcharm 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Nitro Vision 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Lett It Happen 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Brookes Brioni 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Pm Uno Dasher 0 0-1
7 7 Pf Charlie Brown 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Your Beehind Honey 5.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Zidane the Great 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Corona Checks Blue 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Pm Uno Dasher 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Rough Majestic 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Jrs Lucky Majestic 15.00 5 10-1
5 5 Double X Perry 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 The Villain 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Alcala Candy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mj Fast Dash 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Sheza Tko 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 South Henry Streak 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Wildly Untamable 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Fdd Lady Patriot 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Jess a Wild Candy 3.50 6 11-1
9 9 Kooln Inseprable 8.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Apollitical B Fire 4.50 8.5 16-1
5 5 Jrs Heza Majestic 15.00 9 17-1
4 4 Favdashineagle 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sheza Bell Perry 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Chartreuse Blue 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Mamaigotthis 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Miss Apolitical 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Never Sweet 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cb Pinkmoonin 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Jess Ta Dash a Blue 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Monroe Tlc 6.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Julies Lil Rogue 12.00 8 15-1
10 10 Dashin and Zoomin 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Distaff Challenge S.) – Distaff Challenge S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hallmarke 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Wild Train Fortune 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ima Fancy Keeper 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sally Soul Smasher 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Valiant Bling 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sweet Jessie Mae Aw 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Here Comes Candy 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Black Rose Queen 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rh Querido Ruperto 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Jrs Majestic Prince 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sheza Money Train 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Ms Bar None T 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Eagles N Corona 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Heroic Deed 8.00 6 11-1
10 10 Open Me Champagne 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 A Kool Design 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 My Knot 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jessa Fury 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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