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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 26, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Catire Vizcaya 0 0-1
6 6 Uncle Eddie 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Walstib 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 First Trumpet 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Catire Vizcaya 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Threewhitesoldiers 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Secret Lover 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Stunnem 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Awesome for Sure 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Fire Brigade 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Feathers Road 10.00 1 2-1
6 5 Courageoous Oh La 6.00 3 6-1
12 13 Golden Arm 2.50 3.7 7-1
13 14 High Tone 4.00 5.2 10-1
14 15 Newport Bridge 3.00 5.8 11-1
10 11 Empire Sky 15.00 7 13-1
3 2 Dreampoint 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 On Our Way Boyz 30.00 8.2 16-1
11 12 He’s Got It 30.00 8.5 16-1
8 9 Volkert 12.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Athenry 15.00 SCRATCH
1 6 City Mischief 1.80 SCRATCH
2 1 Ortus 3.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Kreesa 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 Image of Quality 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
St. Elmo 0 0-1
3 3 Money Supply 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 What’s Up Doc 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Mistical Curlin 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 St. Elmo 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Mighty Atlas 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Skylander 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Watasha 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scocciatore 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Bold Journey 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Sky and Sand 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 My Harbors Dream 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Osbourne 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Milton the Monster 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Monday Morning Qb 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Champions Dream 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Shivaree 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lord Captain 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Nobel (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
7 6 James Aloysius 2.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Cross Border 10.00 3 6-1
1 7 Dynadrive 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Catch That Party 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 English Conqueror 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Bear Oak 15.00 5.6 10-1
1A 11 Mystic Night 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tonal Impact 1.60 SCRATCH
5 4 The Reds 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Iron Works 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Colonial Rose 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Antenna 6.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Life’s Joy 10.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Just F Y I 4.50 5 9-1
1 1 She’s Wicked Smart 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Cowgirl Charm 5.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Lady de Berry 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Here’syourtrouble 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Shop Lifting 6.00 7 13-1
7 7 Willowy 15.00 8.2 16-1
13 13 Clearly a Test 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ringy Dingy 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ice Cold 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Forego S.) – Forego S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gunite 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Elite Power 0.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Pipeline 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Synthesis 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 High Oak 30.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Souper Quest 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Southern Horse (ARG) 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Talkin Pharoah 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Harry Time (IRE) 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Highly Flammable 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Detroit City 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Acoustic Ave 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Extendo 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Monet Never (IRE) 6.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Handsome Cat 20.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Notah 30.00 12.2 23-1
15 15 Twelth Man 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Elusive Edge 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Immortalization 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Daufuskie Island 1.80 SCRATCH
14 14 Kigali 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.) – H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
New York Thunder 0 0-1
New York Thunder 0 0-1
Arabian Lion 0 0-1
5 5 New York Thunder 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Arabian Lion 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Fort Bragg 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Verifying 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Drew’s Gold 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 One in Vermillion 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ballerina H.) – Ballerina H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Goodnight Olive 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Echo Zulu 1.40 1.4 3-1
2 2 Matareya 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Caramel Swirl 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dr B 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Maryquitecontrary 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Sterling Silver 30.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Wicked Halo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.) – Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bolshoi Ballet (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Channel Maker 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Stone Age (IRE) 1.20 1.4 3-1
1 1 Soldier Rising (GB) 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Daunt 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Pioneering Spirit 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Verstappen 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Travers S.) – Travers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Arcangelo 0 0-1
1 1 Forte 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 National Treasure 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Mage 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Scotland 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Disarm 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Arcangelo 2.50 7 13-1
3 3 Tapit Trice 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 15 Coalville 1.80 1 2-1
4 3 Flat Top Box 20.00 7.7 14-1
7 8 Arro Smash 30.00 7.9 15-1
13 14 Motivo 12.00 9.1 17-1
6 5 Party With Smarty 50.00 9.4 18-1
9 10 Magiadoro 50.00 12.3 23-1
1A 7 Growth Capital 1.40 SCRATCH
12 13 Mindtap 3.50 SCRATCH
15 16 Lucency 2.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Fly Right 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Conversing 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Create Trouble 15.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Torigo 6.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Baie Longue 10.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Cumberland 15.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Right to Win (IRE) 1.40 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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