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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jingle Jangle 4.00 1 2-1
14 14 Love Thyself 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dusk 6.00 4.7 9-1
15 15 Fast and Frisky 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Khali’s Storm 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Gioia Mia 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Archivist 30.00 5.6 11-1
13 13 Soloshot 3.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Notafraidtocharge 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kant Call It 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pretty Up 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Needed 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Marco T. 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Follow Your Arrow 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Play Free Bird 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Superstarsusan 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Fleet Indian S.) – Fleet Indian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Timely Conquest 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Amanda’s Folly 1.80 1.8 3-1
5 5 Ichiban 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Cairo Sugar 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Krystalheir 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (West Point S. Presented By Trustco Bank) – West Point S. Presented By Trustco Bank

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 City Man 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jerry the Nipper 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Dakota Gold 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Spirit of St Louis 1.80 3.4 6-1
4 4 Ocala Dream 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Somelikeithotbrown 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bankit 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sheriff Bianco 1.80 SCRATCH
9 9 Un Ojo 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Funny Cide S. Presented By Rood And Riddle Equine Hospital) – Funny Cide S. Presented By Rood And Riddle Equine Hospital

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trust Fund 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 El Grande O 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 The Wine Steward 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Whatchatalkinabout 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Always a Warrior 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Works for Me 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Yaddo H.) – Yaddo H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spungie 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 She’s Dancing 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Runaway Rumour 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Whatlovelookslike 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 New Ginya 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Lisa’s Vision 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Classic Colors 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Golden Rocket 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rocket and Roll 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Flying in Style 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Nobilis 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Refuah 10.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Pure Fire 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Clever Forever 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Beary Funny 20.00 5 10-1
6 6 Coach Pitino 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Prince of Truth 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Seeking The Ante S.) – Seeking The Ante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Concerti 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Tricky Temper 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Caldwell Luvs Gold 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Cara’s Time 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Stellamaris 2.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 My Shea D Lady 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 One Headlight 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sonic Speed 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Factually Correct 12.00 2.1 4-1
13 13 Gem Mint Ten 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Be of Courage 8.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Shared Success 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 American Grant 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Whistler’s Honor 3.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Noble Huntsman 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Born Dancer 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Mr. Kringle 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Dr. Marbooz 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sell Something 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Achilles Heel 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bank Frenzy 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Indian Mischief 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Weekend Rags 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Kerry 8.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Little Linzee 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Sikum 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Saratoga Gaze 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 U Should B Dancing 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Bustin Bullet 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Danseur d’Oro 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Linarite 6.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Three Unions 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Ranting 15.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Queens Over Threes 30.00 8.9 17-1
16 16 High School Crush 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Royal Dancer 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sandy’s Garden 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Majestic Return 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Albany S.) – Albany S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Maker’s Candy 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Mariachi 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Allure of Money 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Drake’s Passage 2.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Miracle Mike 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Leo and Royal 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Jackson Heights 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Boston Strong Mama 8.00 1 2-1
15 15 Foxy Cara 1.40 1.3 3-1
11 11 Lady Laoban 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 North End Lady 12.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Shelly 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Sail With the Wind 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Autumn 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Shine My Tiara 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shaman Princess 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Outta the Cloud 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Charisse 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dance With Me Babe 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Roagna 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Starts Now 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Splashy 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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