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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, August 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Heffner 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Call Fitzroy 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Strum and Pluck 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Long Gray Line 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Samurai Saint 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Kith 4.50 5.6 11-1
1 1 Sunny Saint 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Don’t Blame Freddy 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Circle Me Madden 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Golden Wildcat 4.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Urmizzenthepoint 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Southern Runner 10.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Mr Laoban 3.50 7.8 15-1
8 8 Kane 10.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 King Swansboro 8.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Exclusive Order 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nimble Beast 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 He Hate Me 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 In Sky We Trust 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Wagon Boss 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Causes Trouble 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 News Box 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gun Runnin’ Gal 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Keep It Sweet 6.00 4.5 9-1
13 13 Bounty Killah 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Jsk Lucky’s Pushpa 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Include the Munny 3.50 6.8 13-1
3 3 Save Your Tears 4.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Fancy Scepter 4.50 7.1 13-1
12 12 Social Rebel 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Cee Minus 6.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 My Forever Friend 5.00 10 19-1
11 11 No Sugar Please 20.00 11.7 22-1
9 9 Virologist 6.00 12.8 24-1
5 5 Thendara’s Lost 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 True Phenomenon 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Paradigm Shift 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Kindness Is Free 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Only Girl 20.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Little Doyle 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Bet On Drama 4.50 6.1 11-1
9 9 Bionic Kat 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Charly’s Choo Choo 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Kissit 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Orb’s Party Girl 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Schnuer Will 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Baby Fade 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Fast Intentions 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Decoupage 2.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Tilsa 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Boss Cara 6.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Pontiffany 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Classy Sadie 5.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Gavichi 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baafeed 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 River Dog 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Gran Runner 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Polar Wind 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Jovial 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Easy Day 3.00 5 9-1
3 3 Rob the Rich 6.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Get Set 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kuchar 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Senate Chamber 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Splicethemainbrace 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Roan Mountain 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Dreaming of Gerry 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Simovitch 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Practical Coach 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Helium 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Jaa Mode 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Batter Up Bud 8.00 2 4-1
9 9 Midnight Chrome 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Mega Charlie 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 People Force 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Big Beemster 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Doctor Doom 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Speightster Red 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Pudge Boy Palace 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 The Twins Sneakers 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dangnabbit 15.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Ava K’s Boy 3.50 4.5 9-1
10 10 Lucky as a Seven 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Rack Gin 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Healy’s Hope 4.50 7.7 15-1
1 1 Never Satisfied 4.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Country Captain 5.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Splitzville 15.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 We Ready 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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