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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sugar N Spice 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Seven Natty Patty 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Life’s an Audible 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Lyrical Pardon 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Baraye 3.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Z Train (IRE) 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Echo Baybe (IRE) 6.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Tammy Lynn 4.50 8 15-1
10 10 Housefly (IRE) 10.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Luz Divina 10.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Agra 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Reagan’s Flame 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Value Area 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 La Salvadorena 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 To Be Loved by You 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Matagora Bay 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Uncle Moonlight 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Accretive 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Tonal Impact 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Guntown 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mystic Night 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ram 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Flower Bowl S.) – Flower Bowl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 McKulick (GB) 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Amazing Grace (GER) 1.40 1.8 3-1
1 1 Parnac (FR) 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Tamarama (GB) 6.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Frat Pack 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Awesome Native 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 9 Ocean’s Reserve 6.00 4.8 9-1
1A 7 Daufuskie Island 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Cape Trafalgar 4.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Lafitte’s Fleet 5.00 6.3 12-1
9 10 Baytown Bear 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 8 Ludwig 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Bourbon Bash 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Chileno 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Prioress S.) – Prioress S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dazzling Blue 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Alva Starr 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Jersey Pearl 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Unified Alliance 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Unsung Melody 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Agate Road 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tom Collins 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dangerous Driver 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Ocala Rocket 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Stolen Magic 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Vin Santo 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Walley World 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Get Ready to Rock 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Buffoon (FR) 12.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Zverev 6.00 8.3 16-1
15 15 Noble Wave 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Tropandhagen 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unique Insight 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Fortune Seller 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Uncle Bo 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Live to Ride (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 General Partner 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Enlighten 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Rivetage 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Ask Isaac 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Jefferson Street 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Dive Bomber 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Shamrock Shake 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Just Be Happy 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Justifiably So 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Typhoon Fury 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Pentathlon 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Deposition 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Harvey Pack S.) – Harvey Pack S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Invasion 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Our Shot 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Dancing Buck 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mister Mmmmm 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Thin White Duke 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Chess Master 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Jake Rocks 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sheriff Bianco 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Willy Boi 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Tosconova Beauty 15.00 1 2-1
6 7 Athena Beach 6.00 1.4 3-1
12 13 Big Bean Christine 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 9 Fancy Feline 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 6 Sandy’s Garden 6.00 3.5 7-1
1A 4 Meraviglioso 20.00 3.6 7-1
11 12 Majestic Return 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Missing Fortune 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 11 Richies Princess 2.50 5.4 10-1
2 1 Forces Sweetheart 12.00 6 11-1
4 5 Easy Play 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 3 Robyn and Eli 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 8 Fancypants Juliana 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 I’m Very Busy 3.50 1 2-1
4 3 Ruse 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Royal Spirit 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Heathguard 20.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Landbiscuit 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 8 Danzigwiththestars 6.00 4.4 8-1
13 13 Drakon 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Internal Capital 4.50 4.9 9-1
10 10 So High (GB) 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Fredo 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Tallahatchiebridge 8.00 7 13-1
5 4 Bad to the Bones 12.00 7.4 14-1
15 15 Saqeel 2.00 SCRATCH
1A 16 Brew Pub 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Starrystarryknight 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Al’s Rocket 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Jockey Club Gold Cup S.) – Jockey Club Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rattle N Roll 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Tyson 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Proxy 2.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bright Future 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Clapton 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Unbridled Bomber 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Warrior Johny 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Duke of Love 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jannie Mae 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dream Road 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Lem Me Drink 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sperss 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Jayla 12.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Outta the Cloud 30.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Pinstripepizzo 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Camcha 2.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Miss Barb 20.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Knockzcatoffzfence 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Duneen Bay 30.00 12.2 23-1
14 14 So Are You 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Arisaema 2.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Embraceable Gal 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mary Katherine 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Stone of Destiny 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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