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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Orchard 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mii Amo 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Symphonys Overture 2.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Sophia’s Rose 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Saratoga Sweets 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Betsy Is the Gal 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chip’s Friend 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Disturbed 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Practicallymine 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Doctor Magic 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Florianopolis 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Majestic Lion 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Road Call 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Milwaukee Bay 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Nana’s Boopa 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Advocate Harbor 3.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Cinnamon Dream 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Sirenetta 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Iyiyi 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Laytown 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Pudge Boy Palace 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Predominate 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Classic Union 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Bullet Butch 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Coles Conundrum 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mataro 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Upfor Parole 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 One of the Ones 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Crack the Code 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Whoosh 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Nicky Da Fox 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Four Days Early 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Caddy Man 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mamma Mia Esterina 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Little Doyle 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Overthebluesky 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cape Neddick 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Ms Kays Cowgirl 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sweetest Moment 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Bionic Kat 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ebben 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ego Man 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Powerfully Built 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Quick Return 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Johnny Ritt 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Geebert 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Genghis 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Big Brown Shoes 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sing Scat 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Brushing 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Summer At the Spa 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Current Situation 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Solemn Oath 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Thegoddessofsnakes 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Classy Miss 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 What a Beaut 15.00 12.2 23-1
13 13 A Ring Thing 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Big Cheeks 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Bohemia Babe 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Amaterasu 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Raise Your Game 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Miss Chamita 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Schnuer Will 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Racing Colors 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Offaly Cool 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Time to Cruise 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Chelonian 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Rich’s Way 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Thistle 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Blue Royal 6.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Civil War 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boss Like Beth 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Hip Hop Hooray 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Mythreebutterflies 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Skerrett 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 La Luisa 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 So Softly 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Akna 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Super Duper Fly 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Debbie’s Surprise 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Peach Be With Q 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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