Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Valley Victory | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | If You Insist | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halcon Negro | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Munnings Model | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samurai Challenge | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clarence B | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Magnifico | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Still Wicked | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Giant One | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C R Hot Shot | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hip to Your Tricks | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coach Abernathy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Robitaille | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockland Express | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Elvis | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stubborn Streak | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Quality | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Marvelous | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Birthday Munnings | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mesa Spirit | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arafat | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Tempesta | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hungry Wolf | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One True Gentleman | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Field Hockey | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Absolute Chairman | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wickedblackbullet | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Monarch | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gee Que | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hygge | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tonka Wakan | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Full Extreme | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finalist | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solar | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stop the Humbug | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hit the Point | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Lucidity | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mambointheforest | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ivy’s Star | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cara Cara | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Cargo | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Collect Dattt | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halaga | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winyah Bay | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Storage | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lincolnville Beach | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shekky Shebaz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Reserve | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warp Ride | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kawacatoose | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forester’s Fortune | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Trouble | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scoot Daddy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gatling Gun | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Long Pond | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Citrus Boy | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crumlin Lad | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon Steel | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Sea | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moment of Peace | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midway Mischief | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bill Needle | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Samuel | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Like Clint | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anselmo | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nikki Noots | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glenholme | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Defogger | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stormin Dave | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.