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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sugar Is Golden 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lois 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Very Savvy 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Kerics Beauty 2.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Olympic Fencer 3.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Cliff’s Head 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trigger’s Bay 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rookie Radar 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Collaborative 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Bet N Win 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dawson Silver 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Ignite the Storm 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Wild Conversation 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Benlion 3.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Defogger 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cadfael 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Midnight Moonshine 1.80 3.4 6-1
6 6 Bellaspina 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Global Chairman 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Palace Ring 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Hard Reload 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Coronation Boy 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guildsman (FR) 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dixie Giant 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Honey Won’t 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Society Joe 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Steak and Cheese 2.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Timeskip 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Ready Hero 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Chairman Bob 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Four Strong Winds 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Babbo 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Sniper Jack 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Hawkesbury 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Competitive Touch 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Night Striker 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Peggy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Valyrian Sky 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Motskari 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Country Living 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Ashuka 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Break the Spell 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Silent and Violent 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Spirit of Seattle 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Quandale 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Red Ensign 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 That Girl Artemus 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Magical Trick 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Dynamic Strike 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Royal Ribbon 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Hayek 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Camarosa 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Silent Attack 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 I’m Tenacious 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Time to Watch 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Zadracarta S.) – Zadracarta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Breathing Fire 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ol’ Blondie 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Zana 15.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Indian Music 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Souper Sunday 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Canadiansweetheart 2.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Curlin Candy 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Hard Edge 3.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Sacred Dancer 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Wonder Where S.) – Wonder Where S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tito’s Calling 0 0-1
5 5 Wickenheiser 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Delphia 15.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Me and My Shadow 1.20 1.8 3-1
3 3 Tito’s Calling 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Seattle Causeway 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Flysofreeashleeb 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Time for an Angel 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Blackdiamond Dinny 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Devil’s Playground 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Thefrontiersman 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Fortune Seller 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Piper’s Factor 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Jokestar 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Fabelman 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bedard 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Light the Lamp 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Emicrack (CHI) 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Happymac 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Commander Joe 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 King Alfredo 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Luv to Win 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Souper Classy 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Grand Journey 3.00 1 2-1
14 14 A Thread of Blue 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 King Elvis 10.00 2.4 5-1
13 13 Tapsasional 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Downy Boy 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Tidal Forces 6.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 What Say Thee 4.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 It’s a Fluke 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Perfect Crime 15.00 5.6 10-1
15 15 Argentium 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Green Fleet 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Perfect Speighty 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Classy Whisper 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Silent Miracle 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 English Painter 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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