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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 W. P. Cadet 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Smart and Fast 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Runnin Joke 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Liberty Runner 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 La La Lucy 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Kane 6.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Southern Runner 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Center Mid Maddie 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Taco Bean 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Healy’s Hope 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Strawberry Cone 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Skillful 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Splitzville 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Lucky as a Seven 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dial for Love 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Aunt Berra 1.20 2.4 5-1
5 5 Jumpstart Love 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Bet On Drama 4.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Disco Daisy 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Orb’s Party Girl 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Scarlet’s Song 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Social Rebel 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Twist Her 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Ell Gray 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Onthisharvestmoon 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Luna T 3.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Brooklyn Heights 8.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Shell Belle 5.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Eighty Eight Keys 6.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Audit Committee 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bossy Kate 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lucky Opportunity 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 She’sallatwitter 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Gypsy Wanderer 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Whiskeystreetblues 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Eastern Sunrise 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Rununopposed 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Aoife’s Magic 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Gone 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Dreamingoffreedom 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 One Eyed Jackie 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Cheeks 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Trolley Ride 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Baby Gundin 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Erin’s Enthusiasm 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Aegean Sea 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Vallarand 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Catti La Belle 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Flashndynamite 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bronx Boys 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Big Brook 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Master Mojo 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dudley Dickerson 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Viral Video 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Lucky Dancer 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Respirator 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Chief Forty 15.00 9 17-1
1 1 Manayunk 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jebologist 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fox Red 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Big City Bob 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Neigh Dude 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mischievous Juan 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Lazaretto 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Jovial 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Large 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 American Patrol 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Fast Bob 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Keithsendshelloooo 4.50 1 2-1
15 15 It’s Game Time 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Victors Valiant 8.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Pine Valley 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Shpilkes 5.00 4.1 8-1
16 16 Sevier 3.50 4.7 9-1
13 13 Winnin’onweekends 8.00 5.6 11-1
14 14 Roadtriptonowhere 3.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Offshore Affair 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Saketumi 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mt Suribachi 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 C C Goldrush 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 T Rex 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Crisper 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 My Imagination 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Morethanafeeling 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Majestic Tiger 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Manolete 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Manahawkin 12.00 4 8-1
12 12 Just a Thought 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Therisastormbrewin 6.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Rockin Cowboy 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 R Goodtime Charlie 3.50 4.5 9-1
9 9 Tactical Plan 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Magnetron 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Hibachi 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Catch My Vibe 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Ready and Rich 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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