Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Xenatown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peacelovenkarma | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Live Aid | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Cents | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Alex | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risque’s Jewel | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Pal | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Erica | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | This Round’s Mine | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lean On E | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frame This | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frankly My Dear | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Crews | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Schnuer Will | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mercy Mercy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tribord | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond a Million | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Bit Bad N Boujee | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Juliet’s Music | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tonala | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vine Jet | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roan Mountain | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cobble Road | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Under the Radar | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speightster Red | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margin of Air | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jupi’s Lightning | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Relativlea | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kingsville | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heffner | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Juan | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He Runs the Line | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Long Gray Line | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kith | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heart Light | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Party | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divinary | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louella Street | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bruno Barber Girl | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Why Not Babe | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Scepter | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whiskeyromeosierra | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don Tequilas | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chineseiam | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bartlett | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chain Lightning | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swing Oil | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madurai | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Hoof | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ifihadachance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amaterasu | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Dillingham | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Abbie | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chelsea Wall | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Prima | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Treasure | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Storm | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Look Out Lambo | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Social Group | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chain Reaction | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Marco | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emperor’s Cause | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seiche | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Scoop Dawg | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Run for Karl | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Retweet | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Dream | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Frugal Jude | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Dooq | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bali Riddim | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lt’s Jacknthebox | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Social Joe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chip’s Friend | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Classic Bourbon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Two Minutes Apart | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kamikaze Fox | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smilin Jack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Spartan Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Keep Dem Talking | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Whiskey Prize | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.