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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spanish Beauty 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Quiet Maddelena 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Cedar Valley 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 J M R Bold Vision 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Social Drinker 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Wake Up Maggie 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Gormley Girl 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Foresters Princess 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 A Gal for T J 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Text Me Up 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Katchy Name 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Phil in Echo 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Silent But Violent 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Absolute Jewel 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Working Holiday 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Gradevole 10.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Echo Seven 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Featherweight 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Lady Boo 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Aziel 1.40 SCRATCH
3 3 Golden Spring 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 I’m a Bourbon Girl 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Beyond Reason 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 I’m Phantom 12.00 2.1 4-1
13 13 Smiles for David 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Cherry Gardens 4.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 Moet Monet 30.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Sandy Grace 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Mucho Misstique 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Trilling Song 2.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Shameless Affair 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Hurricane Gizmo 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Sweet Bombolini 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Kaloma 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Maclean’s Posse 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cotton 2.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Malibu Edge 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ready for a Fight 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Boston Tea Party 2.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Sugar Ray 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Priceless Will 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hatmaker Holiday 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Veery 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Cefalo 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 American Gamble 12.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Hard to Capture 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Billyjane 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Antigone 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Starlight Ridge 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Endorphin Rush 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dreaming of Audrey 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Boxer Brief 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Three Sonny Sideup 10.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Stylish Gent 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Justin’s Way 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Gus’s Gamble 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Might Bee Speedy 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Souper River 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Tipsy Moon 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Forest Maiden 10.00 2.2 4-1
14 14 Smart Bird 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Rifling 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Hekla’s Aura 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Northern Passage 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Gold Forester 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Golden Train 30.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Celtic Revival 15.00 6.3 12-1
15 15 Infinite Passion 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Tenpenny Nail 30.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Onandonandon 10.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Miss Bikini 6.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Its a Birdie 30.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 So Breanna 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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