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Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cledon 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Razen Cane 1.80 3.5 7-1
4 4 Elegant Dynastia 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 The Hammer 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Empowered 3.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 One Painted Spitfire 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Secret Ivory Girl 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Just Bein Lippy 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Classic Fire 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Brother Tommy 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Honeymoon Hero 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 A True Patriot Fmf 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Esterbell Shagnasty 5.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Settin On Go 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Covered Bridges S.) – Covered Bridges S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dance the Dust Off 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rnc Cardshark Jones 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Katch This Eagle 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Cr Wicked Wabbit 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Kornfusion 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Oro Cartel 12.00 4 7-1
6 6 Pjs Power Play 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 J V Two 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Say It Nicely 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mo’s Mojo 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 North Side 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Chicago Chrome 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Livingontulsatime 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ourbestfriend D L 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Allen’s Rocket 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 War Ron 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Oscar Winner Wally 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Ginger Rules 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Cobymeister 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Just Johnny 4.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 That’s What I Say 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Itwasthisbig 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Daryl’s Bolt 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Go for It 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Panzer Pride 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Air Jock 3.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Molly Bye O 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bit a Bad News 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Reba 3.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Nautical Miss 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Farrah Fowler 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Kid Biz 8.00 7 13-1
10 10 Happy Stroll 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Catale 5.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Lulus Flight Boots 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Good N Lucky 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Macho Forty Five 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Madethedean’slist 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tap On By 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ruling the Roost 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Strollntothemarket 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tactical Rebel 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Wearacap 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Mr Snerdly 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rambo’s Return 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Evil Knievel 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Midnight Rules 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 On a Dare 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Leading the Cause 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Eye of the Panthor 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Rowdy Ray 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Franklygreat 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Deer Run 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Babys Time to Sing 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Last Sentence 15.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Quarternight 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Cytokine Storm 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Papa Geeb 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Mr. Prime Time 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Spirited Dream 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Poe Mans Ride 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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