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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Michele M. 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 O Wow 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Executive Effect 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 P. S. Rising Star 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Holiday With Amy 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mo Touring 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Muskoka Summer 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tavaline 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Gamble’s Orb 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Society’s Kat 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Silver Bullet Lady 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Egbert J 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Rocket Riley 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Secret Gizmo 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jill 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ima Beast 1.60 1.2 2-1
5 5 Weehawken 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 I’m Into Mischief 1.80 4.8 9-1
2 2 Souper Pecan 15.00 5 10-1
3 3 Old Secrets 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Financial Advice (FR) 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Money Beets 15.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Silent Sky 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Cry Freedom 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Heliocentric 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Sassiness 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Painted Glory 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Storms of Life 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 All for Honor 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Happy Valentine 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Eme Claire 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Scottish Symphony 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Speed Trap 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Gayelette 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Kavala 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Admissible 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Too Much Vino 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Bet365 Summer S.) – Bet365 Summer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carson’s Run 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 My Boy Prince 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 King of the Track 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Bucyk 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Airosa 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Tunechi 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Souper Attentive 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Western Whirl 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Go With Gusto 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Golden Canary 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bolt Enoree 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Vigil S.) – Vigil S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Patches O’Houlihan 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Rockcrest 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Souper Watson 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Old Chestnut 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Secret Reserve 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 My Buddy B 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Last American Exit 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Outlaw Kid 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Johnnie Walker Natalma S.) – Johnnie Walker Natalma S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Rhapsody 15.00 1 2-1
14 14 Golden Canary 6.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Ready to Jam 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Dancing Duchess 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Bolt Enoree 20.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 She’s Fire 15.00 4.4 8-1
13 13 Dea Matrona (FR) 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Dazzling Star (GB) 3.00 6 11-1
12 12 Ozara (IRE) 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Simply in Front 20.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Brocknardini 12.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 She Feels Pretty 20.00 12.4 23-1
5 5 Ms. Tart 20.00 12.4 23-1
9 9 Go With Gusto 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Airosa 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Ricoh Woodbine Mile S.) – Ricoh Woodbine Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 War Bomber (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shirl’s Speight 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Master of The Seas (IRE) 1.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Lucky Score 15.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 J P Hellish 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cruden Bay 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Call Curt 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 U S Army Corps 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Souper Cohiba 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Argentium 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 October Frost 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Rapper Zapper 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Haddassah 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Kerouac 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Elusive Knight 15.00 2 4-1
9 9 Mad Mocha 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Dancin in Da’nile 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Midnight in Malibu 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Top of the Charts 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Bode’s Tipsy 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 British Royalty 4.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Concealed Carry 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kantbackoff 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Jokes Up 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Talking Wonders 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Ondine Lady 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Neolithic Nation 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Cantho 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Seattle Signal 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Hits Different 3.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Gunnawin 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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