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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lord Joan 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Popthechampagne Ro 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Incomparable 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Colette’s Spirit 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Amalfi Lady 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Kefaliani 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ruby Dooby Doo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Modern Midas 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Holy City 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Rex Kwon Do 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Book Marker 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Financial Strength 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Boys and Bullets 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Jewels in the Bay 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Alta Fox 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Steerage 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Uptown Shoes 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 The Grayt Pumpkin 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Obscured by Clouds 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Bubby Papermaker 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Capt Complicated 3.50 6.2 12-1
3 3 Majestic Lion 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bay and Gold 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Be Water 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 All Hail Mo 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Paradigm Shift 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Riverview 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Dune Jumper 15.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Queen Lucky 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 La La Lucy 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Now Act Surprised 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiz a Prince 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Mr. Einstein 6.00 3 6-1
13 13 City Rage 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mt Suribachi 3.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Sovereign Change 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sandy Lane Kitten 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Moliere 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Angry Man 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Beach Warrior 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 My Boy Colton 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fierce Warrior 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Et’s Magic Man 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Petit Fils (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Plamen 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Relishment 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Marco Island 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Causalistic 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Abuelo Nuno 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Amount 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Henrythethird 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Angelus Warrior 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Olympic Romp 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nuedorf 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 I Am Dada Moon 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Wontcatchhimtoday 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Bali Amour 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Pallino 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Wrigley Reserve 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Dos de Oros 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Myheartwillgoon 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Amore d’Oro 6.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Ridley Park 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Veeson 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mask Patrol 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Blue Royal 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Onlygodcanjudgeme 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Bump N Run 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Ninja Prize 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Rush Center 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Battuta d’Oro 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Professor Kool 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Foxy Junior 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Knickersinatwist 4.50 1.4 3-1
10 10 Peyton Elizabeth 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 In My Opinion 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Distorted View 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Irie Empress 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Aziza 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Princess Sophie 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Beach Daze 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Flor de Sombra 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Nightsaber (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pardsy 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Charlie Five O 5.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Thiscatcanjump 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Starlite Walker 12.00 2.4 4-1
11 11 B B Bad 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Enforcer 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Defend 4.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Camptown Races 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Fast Bob 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Maxim Moment 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Steely Danza 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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