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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Maeve (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cheeky Pint 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Silent Guroo 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Make No Mistake 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Speedy Lynn 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Wicked Miah 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Color Force 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silent Ghost 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sugar Is Golden 3.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 Oheavens 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 More Savvy 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Airy Fairy 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ivy’s Star 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Stormy Suzie 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Northern Ruby 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Film 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Fire Emoji 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Just On Time 1.60 2.3 4-1
5 5 Yoga 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Gavel Girl 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Almonte Princess 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Speedy River 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Tranquility Base 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Orphan Hallie 20.00 3 6-1
2 2 Highland Society 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Striking Heir 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Upstart Gentleman 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Bokermin 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Tall Water 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Candy Street 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Silent Attack 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Get My Drift 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Momunnyfor Ro 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Time to Watch 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Speed Inthe Forest 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Tabloid Material 8.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Fedorova 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Lady Wellington 4.50 9.1 17-1
6 6 Hobbie Class 15.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Porshas Run 20.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Rohese 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Guildsman (FR) 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Dot’s Vision 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Master Spy 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Chancel 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Union Colonel 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Jack the Cat 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Mayito 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Yorkville 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Tomcat Black 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Guard of Honour 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 The Thunderer 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Jack 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Vincenzino 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Calusa Donnie 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Phantom Jewel 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miah Said 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shamrock Ambasador 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hot Cargo 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 I’m Into Mischief 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Born to Boogie 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Cardio Princess (JPN) 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Personal Pursuit 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Proud Speaker 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Green Fleet 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sir Sahib 1.20 1.7 3-1
1 1 Embrace My Uncle 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Seventyseven Stone 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Stolen Money 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 H C Holiday 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 King Alfredo 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Friends for Life 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bijou Baby 6.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Royal Blush 3.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Bedazzle Me 4.50 5.9 11-1
10 10 Well Actually 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Inscrutable 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Foxy Diva 20.00 8 15-1
6 6 Ravello Beauty 12.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Bequia 3.50 10.1 19-1
5 5 Golden Suzie 20.00 10.7 20-1
3 3 Flowers ‘n Berries 15.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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