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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cara Cara 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Livin On Luv 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Remembering Rhoda 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Winyah Bay 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Plus Power 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Olympic Fencer 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blast in the Snow 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 El Cohete 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Silver Smoke 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Mighty Sea 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Agile Dancer 20.00 4 7-1
8 8 Moon Over Egbert 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Field Hockey 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Speedy Pal 4.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Posturing 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jayhawk 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Thefrontiersman 8.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Vitality 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Road to Water 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Fifty B M G 4.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Eat Food Everyday 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Princess Jade 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mo Tourist 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Stormin Dave 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Vivid Vixen 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Lobby Bar 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Killary 3.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Hank Ollie 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Moment of Peace 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Armaline 6.00 9 17-1
3 3 Air Force Reserve 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Valyrian Sky 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Siesta Beach 8.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Bankingonamiracle 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Im a Souperman 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Canadian Daddy 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 He Shoots He Wins 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Fairway to Heaven 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Red Ensign 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Featherweight 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Park Place 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Kid Marvelous 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Town’s Warrior 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Super Sicily 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Last Monarch 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Midnight Tempesta 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dare to Be King 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Times a Breeze 6.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 This Dude a Breeze 15.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Cinnamon Bits 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Bull Page S.) – Bull Page S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Yacht Boy 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Zippy Gizmo 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Meko Makee 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Summer Commander 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Bearing Down 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Brave Dancer 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady Moonshine 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Frankie’s Girl 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 State of Mind 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Buttered Toast 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Ami’s Link 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Machisima 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Victorian Queen S.) – Victorian Queen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Never Silent 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Fourfiftyfour 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Olivia Rose 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 War Painter 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Hurricane Clair 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Vandoo 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Star Sign 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Have a Souper Day 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Reload’s Rascal 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Red Line Overdrive 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Maakwa 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Poseidon Steel 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Take Charge Sousi 8.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Causin’ Mayhem 3.50 7.1 13-1
1 1 He’s Fully Loaded 12.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Adelaide Court 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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