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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Iyiyi 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 So Softly 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Milwaukee Bay 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Shea On a Mission 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sirenetta 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Cinnamon Dream 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 True Phenomenon 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mamma Mia Esterina 1.60 1.8 3-1
7 7 Only Girl 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Cape Neddick 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Social Rebel 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Wild n’ Sassy 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Charly’s Choo Choo 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sweetest Moment 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jackie’s Pride 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Hot Love 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Spirit’s Hero 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 If We Get Lucky 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Fatih 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Northwoods 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flashing Diamond 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ambitiously Placed 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Shesasuperfreak 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Sassy Charlee 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bravo Zulu 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Aruma 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Baby Fade 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Catty’s Uncle 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 DeSantis 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 North Pole 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Beyond Best 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Impetud 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Fictionalfairytale 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Scamp Walker 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Deplane 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Plenty of Time 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Dudley Dickerson 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Aula 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tio Tony 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Dance a Dini 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Zoppi Fischbein 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Four Days Early 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ifihadachance 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Peak of Chic 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 J D’s Vista 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Unadulterated 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Doctor Abbie 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Spanikopita 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Our Fantasy 2.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Broad Jumper 8.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Random Luck 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Occasional Moon 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Exit Right 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Ten Gauge 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Traffic Master 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Lease 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Egot a Poker Face 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Gliding Afleet 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Swing Low 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Brett’s World 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Beren 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Scaramouche 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Hollywood Jet 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Word On a Wing 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 One More Scoop 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Aggrandize 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Final Shot 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Perfect Silent Cat 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Center Mid Maddie 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dangnabbit 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Ava K’s Boy 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Lucky as a Seven 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Mischievous Jones 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Refund Rigler 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Porsupuesto 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Rack Gin 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Upstate and Back 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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