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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Captain Chazz 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Therisastormbrewin 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Manolete 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Just a Thought 10.00 4 8-1
10 10 Manahawkin 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Rudy Rod 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Daytime Lover 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ready and Rich 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Little Harbour 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Neigh Dude 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shane’s Jewel 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dark Storm 10.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Plamen 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Heffner 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Crafty Don 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sophos 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Emperor’s Cause 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Long Gray Line 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Wagon Boss 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Social Group 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Legal Deal 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Brilliant Chase 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Dathoss 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sea Trident 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Nimble Beast 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jw’strickymischief 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Press My Bets 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Girolamo’s Attack 0 0-1
3 3 Semper Fi 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Celtic Treasure 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Secret Path 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Girolamo’s Attack 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Yes Sir Colonel 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Scoop Dawg 12.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Saint Marco 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Corkman 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Quickening 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Indybound 2.00 1.2 2-1
12 12 Eddiemush 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bluey 5.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Carpe All Day 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Union Reward 6.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Smart and Fast 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sunset Provision 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Aye 10.00 8 15-1
10 10 Connecting 12.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Rex Kwon Do 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Almond Cider 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Show Em the Lights 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Take Charge Erica 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 Scott Alaia 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 R Tenderoni 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Takestwotowiggle 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Isabella Smile 4.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Carly Hustle 3.50 9.4 18-1
5 5 Boca Royalty 8.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 What a Beaut 8.00 10 19-1
4 4 Tonala 12.00 10.4 20-1
7 7 Yourindenial 20.00 10.5 20-1
6 6 J J Loves Billy 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Separate Ways 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Social Acceptance 2.00 2 4-1
8 8 Respirator 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Nicky Da Fox 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Viral Video 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Whoosh 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Cold Shot 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Blazing Red 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 E T’s Demon Fire 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Son of a Buck 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Catch the Smoke 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Loose Goose 4.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 People Force 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Big Beemster 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Brett’s World 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Laytown 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Classic Union 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Chelonian 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dreaming of Gerry 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Allevare 6.00 1.2 2-1
10 10 Simovitch 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Helium 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Splicethemainbrace 6.00 2.3 4-1
12 12 Practical Coach 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Irish Exit 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Eloquist 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Roan Mountain 12.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 A C Expressway 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Lib’s Contento 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Noneedtoworry 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Margin of Air 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jump Shot 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Magnetron 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Enraged 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Healy’s Hope 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Jupi’s Lightning 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Strong Breeze 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Catch My Vibe 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Colonel Juan 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dramatized 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Off the Meds 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mucho Macho Eddie 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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